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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
30 May 2025 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 50%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (Yorkshire: 0% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Lythrun out · Justin Broad, Saif Zaib, Lewis McManus · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Justin Broad, Saif Zaib, Lewis McManus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Dawid Malancaught · Matthew Breetzke · David Willey1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b David Willey | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · David Willey0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b David Willey | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| James Whartonbowled · David Willey 6 fours · 3 sixes |
| 58 |
| 29 |
| 6 |
| 3 |
| 200.00 |
| Harry Dukebowled · Lloyd Pope 2 fours · 4 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 37 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 205.56 |
|---|
 Will Sutherlandcaught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · Lloyd Pope2 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Ricardo Vasconcelos · b Lloyd Pope | 58 | 30 | 2 | 6 | 193.33 |
|---|
 Matt Reviscaught · Lloyd Pope · Ben Sanderson2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lloyd Pope · b Ben Sanderson | 23 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 127.78 |
|---|
 Dominic Besscaught · Matthew Breetzke · Ben Sanderson1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b Ben Sanderson | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Matt Milnescaught · Lewis McManus · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b George Scrimshaw | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 122.22 |
|---|
| JA Chohannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkenot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 5 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 3 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Guthrie0 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 68 | 0 | 22.67 | 1 | 2 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 2 | 0 |
 Ravi Bopara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Dawid Malan, 0.3) · 2-6 (William Luxton, 0.4) · 3-9 (Adam Lyth, 0.5) · 4-90 (Harry Duke, 6.3) · 5-141 (James Wharton, 11.4) · 6-174 (Will Sutherland, 13.3) · 7-199 (Dominic Bess, 16.5) · 8-216 (Matt Revis, 19.0) · 9-218 (Matt Milnes, 19.2)
Recorded target: 238 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/3 |
| 2 | 6 | 19/3 |
| 3 | 23 | 42/3 |
| 4 | 12 | 54/3 |
| 5 | 13 | 67/3 |
| 6 | 21 | 88/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 91/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 95/4 |
| 9 | 17 | 112/4 |
| 10 | 15 | 127/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 131/4 |
| 12 | 12 | 143/5 |
| 13 | 25 | 168/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 177/6 |
| 15 | 10 | 187/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 196/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 200/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 208/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 216/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 224/9 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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