Western StormversusThe Blaze

7 Jun 2024 · T20

Grace Road, Leicester · Venue photograph

Recorded result

The Blaze won by 7 wickets

Western Storm19.3 overs99/10 The Blaze14.1 overs103/3 Grace Road, Leicester ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Western Storm started on 36%; Western Storm batted first.

Western Storm’s chance of winning (%) · The Blaze is the rest

Western Storm's chances ranged from 0% to 39% during the match (The Blaze: 62% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2.4: G Ballinger to NAJ Wraith, NAJ Wraith out. The Blaze up from 65% to 73%.
7.3: KL Gordon to HC Knight, HC Knight out. The Blaze up from 66% to 73%.
9.2: J Groves to A Wellington, A Wellington out. The Blaze up from 69% to 75%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Western Storm chose to bat
match referees: SJ Davis
umpires: N Pratt, WRP Fernando

Match history & source

On 7 Jun 2024, Western Storm played The Blaze at Grace Road, Leicester. Recorded result: The Blaze won by 7 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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