OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: G patkar
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2025/26 · Men
7 Feb 2026 · T20
Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 87%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 67%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andries Gouscaught · Tilak Varma · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tilak Varma · b Mohammed Siraj | 6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 66.67 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Varun Chakravarthy · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Varun Chakravarthy · b Mohammed Siraj | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| Monank Patelcaught · Shivam Dube · Arshdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shivam Dube · b Arshdeep Singh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Milind Kumarstumped · Ishan Kishan · Varun Chakravarthy 3 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Ishan Kishan · b Varun Chakravarthy | 34 | 34 | 3 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Sanjay Krishnamurthicaught · Rinku Singh · Axar Patel 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Rinku Singh · b Axar Patel |
| 31 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 119.35 |
 Shubham Ranjanelbw · Mohammed Siraj2 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 37 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 168.18 |
|---|
| Harmeet Singhcaught · Mohammed Siraj · Axar Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Axar Patel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mohammad Mohsincaught · Tilak Varma · Arshdeep Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tilak Varma · b Arshdeep Singh | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
| Shadley van Schalkwyknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arshdeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Mohammed Siraj0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 7.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Varun Chakravarthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Axar Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Hardik Pandya0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-8 (Andries Gous, 1.4) · 2-11 (Monank Patel, 2.1) · 3-13 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 3.2) · 4-71 (Milind Kumar, 12.0) · 5-98 (Sanjay Krishnamurthi, 15.2) · 6-98 (Harmeet Singh, 15.3) · 7-110 (Mohammad Mohsin, 17.4) · 8-132 (Shubham Ranjane, 20.0)
Recorded target: 162 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 15/3 |
| 5 | 9 | 24/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 31/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 36/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 39/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 41/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 49/3 |
| 11 | 14 | 63/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 71/4 |
| 13 | 7 | 78/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 89/4 |
| 15 | 9 | 98/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 100/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 104/6 |
| 18 | 7 | 111/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 121/7 |
| 20 | 11 | 132/8 |
Ali Khan: U.S. Embassy Port of Spain · Public domain
Shubham Ranjane: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hardik Pandya: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Suryakumar Yadav: Kolkata Knight Riders - Official · CC BY 3.0
Axar Patel: Anand Anil · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Shivam Dube: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ishan Kishan: Tata Ipl 2022 · CC BY 3.0
Tilak Varma: Buchi Babu Sana · CC BY 4.0
Arshdeep Singh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
