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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
18 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 50%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 50%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingrabowled · Rabeya Khan 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Rabeya Khan | 23 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 104.55 |
| CR Pagydyalacaught · Marufa Akter · Ritu Moni 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marufa Akter · b Ritu Moni | 36 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 116.13 |
| Ella Claridgecaught · Marufa Akter · Ritu Moni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Marufa Akter · b Ritu Moni | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Isani Vaghelacaught · Dilara Akter · Ritu Moni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dilara Akter · b Ritu Moni | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| AI Chudasamacaught · Fargana Hoque · Nahida Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fargana Hoque · b Nahida Akter | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Pooja Ganeshbowled · Rabeya Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Rabeya Khan |
| 5 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 83.33 |
| Ritu Singhcaught · Shorna Akter · Nahida Akter 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Shorna Akter · b Nahida Akter | 33 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 253.85 |
|---|
| T Chopracaught · Sharmin Akhter · Nahida Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sharmin Akhter · b Nahida Akter | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Geetika Kodalistumped · Dilara Akter · Nahida Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Dilara Akter · b Nahida Akter | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Maahi Madhavannot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| S Immadinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marufa Akter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Sanjida Akter Meghla0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Nahida Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 4 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Ritu Moni0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Sobhana Mostary0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-42 (D Dhingra, 6.5) · 2-57 (Ella Claridge, 9.3) · 3-57 (Isani Vaghela, 9.5) · 4-68 (CR Pagydyala, 11.4) · 5-75 (Pooja Ganesh, 13.0) · 6-79 (AI Chudasama, 13.5) · 7-118 (Ritu Singh, 17.2) · 8-118 (Geetika Kodali, 17.3) · 9-123 (T Chopra, 18.0)
Recorded target: 160 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 30/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 37/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 42/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 47/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 55/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 57/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 66/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 69/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 75/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 79/6 |
| 15 | 11 | 90/6 |
| 16 | 12 | 102/6 |
| 17 | 15 | 117/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 123/9 |
| 19 | 8 | 131/9 |
| 20 | 6 | 137/9 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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