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Photo: Ullaelinakarna
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Nordic T20 Cup · 2024 · Men
14 Jun 2024 · T20
Kerava National Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 49%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Finland: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raza Iqbalrun out · Jordan O'Brien, Faheem Nellancheri · Amjad Sher 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jordan O'Brien, Faheem Nellancheri | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Khizer Ahmedcaught · NM Salonen · MB Tambe0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NM Salonen · b MB Tambe | 9 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 64.29 |
| Walid Ghauricaught · Ghulam Abbas Butt · NM Salonen 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ghulam Abbas Butt · b NM Salonen | 49 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 125.64 |
| D Abeyrathnalbw · Amjad Sher 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Amjad Sher | 35 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 140.00 |
| Ali Saleemcaught · NM Salonen · Parveen Kumar 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · NM Salonen |
| 42 |
| 23 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 182.61 |
| Javed Maroofkhailnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 20* | 15 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Sher Sahaknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 12 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amjad Sher0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Akhil Arjunan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Parveen Kumar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| MB Tambe0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 |
| NM Salonen0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 8.25 | 5 | 0 |
1-1 (Raza Iqbal, 0.1) · 2-51 (Khizer Ahmed, 7.1) · 3-85 (Walid Ghauri, 11.2) · 4-113 (D Abeyrathna, 14.2) · 5-163 (Ali Saleem, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/1 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 33/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 51/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 79/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 84/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 91/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 99/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 112/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 117/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 128/4 |
| 17 | 13 | 141/4 |
| 18 | 10 | 151/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 163/5 |
| 20 | 8 | 171/5 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
