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Photo: Ullaelinakarna
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Nordic T20 Cup · 2024 · Men
14 Jun 2024 · T20
Kerava National Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 49%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Finland: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghulam Abbas Buttlbw · Sher Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Sher Sahak | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| VS Padhaallbw · Wahidullah Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Wahidullah Sahak | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ziaur Rehmancaught · Qamar Mushtaque · Wahidullah Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Qamar Mushtaque · b Wahidullah Sahak | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Jordan O'Briencaught · Walid Ghauri · Sher Sahak 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Walid Ghauri · b Sher Sahak | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| NM Salonencaught · Khizer Ahmed · Chaudhary Akram 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khizer Ahmed · b Chaudhary Akram | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| caught · Wahidullah Sahak · b Qamar Mushtaque |
| 9 |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 128.57 |
| Akhil Arjunanstumped · Khizer Ahmed · D Abeyrathna 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Khizer Ahmed · b D Abeyrathna | 24 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Faheem Nellanchericaught · Wahidullah Sahak · Chaudhary Akram 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wahidullah Sahak · b Chaudhary Akram | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
| Amjad Sherbowled · AJ Parmar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b AJ Parmar | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| MB Tambenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 22 | 0 | 0 | 45.45 |
|---|
| Parveen Kumarcaught · Wahidullah Sahak · D Abeyrathna 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wahidullah Sahak · b D Abeyrathna | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sher Sahak0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Wahidullah Sahak0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Chaudhary Akram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| AJ Parmar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Raza Iqbal0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| D Abeyrathna1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-4 (Ghulam Abbas Butt, 1.0) · 2-6 (VS Padhaal, 1.3) · 3-10 (Jordan O'Brien, 2.2) · 4-12 (Ziaur Rehman, 3.1) · 5-26 (NM Salonen, 4.4) · 6-28 (Atif Rasheed, 5.2) · 7-37 (Faheem Nellancheri, 6.4) · 8-49 (Amjad Sher, 10.1) · 9-71 (Akhil Arjunan, 15.2) · 10-74 (Parveen Kumar, 17.4)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/2 |
| 3 | 3 | 12/3 |
| 4 | 12 | 24/4 |
| 5 | 3 | 27/5 |
| 6 | 5 | 32/6 |
| 7 | 10 | 42/7 |
| 8 | 1 | 43/7 |
| 9 | 4 | 47/7 |
| 10 | 2 | 49/7 |
| 11 | 5 | 54/8 |
| 12 | 2 | 56/8 |
| 13 | 5 | 61/8 |
| 14 | 6 | 67/8 |
| 15 | 4 | 71/8 |
| 16 | 0 | 71/9 |
| 17 | 2 | 73/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 74/10 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
