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Photo: Electricmaster
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized to at most 1600px wide and converted to WebP. Display crops vary; source photographs are historical.
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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
18 Dec 2025 · T20
Melbourne Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Hobart Hurricanes started on 52%; Hobart Hurricanes batted first.
Hobart Hurricanes's chances ranged from 0% to 61% during the match (Melbourne Stars: 40% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkecaught · Riley Meredith · Rishad Hossain 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Riley Meredith · b Rishad Hossain | 20 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Tom Rogerscaught · Nikhil Chaudhary · Rishad Hossain 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nikhil Chaudhary · b Rishad Hossain | 30 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 166.67 |
| Campbell Kellawaynot out 5 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 41* | 27 | 5 | 0 | 151.85 |
 Marcus Stoinisnot out7 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 62* | 31 | 7 | 2 | 200.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billy Stanlake0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Jordan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 13.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Rishad Hossain0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Rehan Ahmed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-46 (Tom Rogers, 5.3) · 2-58 (Joe Clarke, 7.3)
Recorded target: 159 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 33/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 44/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 67/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 19 | 89/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 101/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 108/2 |
| 13 | 8 | 116/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 128/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 137/2 |
| 16 | 22 | 159/2 |
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Haris Rauf: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Billy Stanlake: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Peter Siddle: PrivateMusings · CC BY-SA 2.5
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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