OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Badbez
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup · 2024 · Men
17 Jun 2024 · T20
Brian Lara Stadium, Tarouba, Trinidad · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Papua New Guinea started on 41%; Papua New Guinea batted first.
Papua New Guinea's chances ranged from 0% to 42% during the match (New Zealand: 58% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Allencaught · Kiplin Doriga · Kabua Morea 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kiplin Doriga · b Kabua Morea | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Devon Conwaylbw · Semo Kamea 2 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Semo Kamea | 35 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 109.38 |
 Rachin Ravindracaught · Semo Kamea · Kabua Morea0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Semo Kamea · b Kabua Morea | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 54.55 |
 Kane Williamsonnot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 17 | 2 | 0 | 105.88 |
| Daryl Mitchellnot out3 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 19* |
| 12 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 158.33 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kabua Morea0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 |
| Alei Nao0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Assad Vala0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| CJA Amini0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Semo Kamea0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Chad Soper0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Norman Vanua0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Finn Allen, 0.2) · 2-20 (Rachin Ravindra, 4.1) · 3-54 (Devon Conway, 9.2)
Recorded target: 79 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 53/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 12 | 15 | 77/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 79/3 |
Lockie Ferguson: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Assad Vala: LondonWriting · CC0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(Sodhi_cropped).jpg){kind=link}
