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Zimbabwe Women tour of Ireland · 2025 · Women
22 Jul 2025 · T20
Pembroke Cricket Club, Sandymount, Dublin · Venue photographRecorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Ireland started on 88%; Ireland batted first.
Ireland's chances ranged from 87% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 13%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwacaught · Amy Hunter · Orla Prendergast 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Orla Prendergast | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught · Leah Paul · Orla Prendergast 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leah Paul · b Orla Prendergast | 46 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 115.00 |
| Chipo Mugericaught · Gaby Lewis · LA McBride 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gaby Lewis · b LA McBride | 11 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 73.33 |
| B Bizacaught · Amy Hunter · Cara Murray 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Cara Murray | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Loren Tshumacaught · Amy Hunter · Cara Murray 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amy Hunter · b Cara Murray | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Chiedza Dhurururun out · Amy Hunter, Louise Little · Leah Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Amy Hunter, Louise Little |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Nyasha Gwanzuralbw · Cara Murray 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Cara Murray | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Francisca Chiparecaught · Cara Murray · Leah Paul 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cara Murray · b Leah Paul | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| L Mabheronot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 14 | 1 | 0 | 78.57 |
|---|
| K Chigorastumped · Amy Hunter · Leah Paul 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Amy Hunter · b Leah Paul | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| T Makusharun out · Orla Prendergast, Jane Maguire · Jane Maguire 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Orla Prendergast, Jane Maguire | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 92.31 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orla Prendergast0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 3 | 0 |
| Jane Maguire0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| LA McBride0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Arlene Kelly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Laura Delany0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cara Murray0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Leah Paul0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-14 (Modester Mupachikwa, 3.0) · 2-48 (Chipo Mugeri, 8.4) · 3-68 (B Biza, 11.3) · 4-77 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 12.3) · 5-79 (Loren Tshuma, 13.1) · 6-79 (Nyasha Gwanzura, 13.4) · 7-84 (Francisca Chipare, 14.3) · 8-93 (Chiedza Dhururu, 16.3) · 9-95 (K Chigora, 17.0) · 10-111 (T Makusha, 20.0)
Recorded target: 177 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 25/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 28/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 35/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 44/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 50/2 |
| 10 | 13 | 63/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 66/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 72/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 79/4 |
| 14 | 1 | 80/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 84/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 90/7 |
| 17 | 5 | 95/9 |
| 18 | 4 | 99/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 103/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 111/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.