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Photo: Voyager (Commons uploader; file has no author field)
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
17 Dec 2024 · T20
Manuka Oval, Canberra · Venue photographRecorded result
Adelaide Strikers started on 51%; Adelaide Strikers batted first.
Adelaide Strikers's chances ranged from 5% to 97% during the match (Sydney Thunder: 4% to 95%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sam Konstaslbw · Fabian Allen8 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Fabian Allen | 56 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 207.41 |
 David Warnercaught · Lloyd Pope · Henry Thornton1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lloyd Pope · b Henry Thornton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
| Cameron Bancroftbowled · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jamie Overton | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Oliver Daviescaught · DJM Short · Cameron Boyce 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · DJM Short · b Cameron Boyce | 23 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 121.05 |
| caught · DJM Short · b Matthew Short |
| 29 |
| 26 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 111.54 |
| Sherfane Rutherfordcaught · James Bazley · Lloyd Pope 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Bazley · b Lloyd Pope | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
 Chris Greencaught · Alex Ross · Henry Thornton1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Ross · b Henry Thornton | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Daniel Samsnot out4 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 42* | 18 | 4 | 3 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught · Matthew Short · Jamie Overton 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Short · b Jamie Overton | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Lockie Fergusonnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Thornton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
 James Bazley0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 19.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Cameron Boyce0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 7.64 | 0 | 1 |
| Fabian Allen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 48 | 1 | 12.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-16 (David Warner, 1.3) · 2-69 (Cameron Bancroft, 6.0) · 3-71 (Sam Konstas, 6.5) · 4-118 (Oliver Davies, 13.2) · 5-126 (Sam Billings, 15.0) · 6-128 (Sherfane Rutherford, 15.4) · 7-149 (Chris Green, 18.0) · 8-180 (Nathan McAndrew, 19.1)
Recorded target: 183 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 14/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 18/1 |
| 3 | 19 | 37/1 |
| 4 | 15 | 52/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 63/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 69/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 71/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 77/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 85/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 95/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 98/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 107/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 117/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 123/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 126/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 130/6 |
| 17 | 10 | 140/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 149/7 |
| 19 | 31 | 180/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 183/8 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lockie Ferguson: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
James Bazley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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