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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2024/25 · Men
15 Jan 2025 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
MI Cape Town started on 44%; MI Cape Town batted first.
MI Cape Town's chances ranged from 1% to 57% during the match (Paarl Royals: 43% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HE van der Dussennot out 5 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 91* | 64 | 5 | 5 | 142.19 |
| Azmatullah Omarzaicaught · Dinesh Karthik · Dayyaan Galiem 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dinesh Karthik · b Dayyaan Galiem | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
 Reeza Hendricksbowled · Mujeeb Ur Rahman1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mujeeb Ur Rahman | 30 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 111.11 |
| George Lindebowled · Joe Root 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Joe Root | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Dewald Brevisbowled · Mujeeb Ur Rahman 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Mujeeb Ur Rahman | 8 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 200.00 |
| Delano Potgieternot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjorn Fortuin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kwena Maphaka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 11.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Dayyaan Galiem0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Mujeeb Ur Rahman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Dunith Wellalage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-31 (Azmatullah Omarzai, 4.1) · 2-90 (Reeza Hendricks, 12.2) · 3-109 (George Linde, 15.3) · 4-124 (Dewald Brevis, 16.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 5 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 46/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 54/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 58/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 68/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 70/1 |
| 11 | 15 | 85/1 |
| 12 | 5 | 90/1 |
| 13 | 3 | 93/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 99/2 |
| 15 | 6 | 105/2 |
| 16 | 10 | 115/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 124/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 131/4 |
| 19 | 20 | 151/4 |
| 20 | 7 | 158/4 |
Mujeeb Ur Rahman: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dinesh Karthik: Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 3.0
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rashid Khan: Afghanistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Reeza Hendricks: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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