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Photo: Nelsonpubliclibraries
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
4 Jan 2025 · T20
Saxton Oval, Nelson · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 48%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 15% to 99% during the match (Central Districts: 1% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsoncaught · Jayden Lennox · AR Schaw 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b AR Schaw | 57 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 158.33 |
 Tom Blundellstumped · Dane Cleaver · AR Schaw0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Dane Cleaver · b AR Schaw | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nick Kellycaught · Tom Bruce · Will Clark 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tom Bruce · b Will Clark | 36 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 144.00 |
| Troy Johnsoncaught · Jack Boyle · Will Clark 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jack Boyle · b Will Clark | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
 |
| not out |
| 55* |
| 32 |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 171.88 |
 Jesse Tashkoffcaught · Jayden Lennox · AR Schaw0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jayden Lennox · b AR Schaw | 24 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Logan van Beeknot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 10* | 6 | 0 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AR Schaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Brett Randell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Blair Tickner0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 12.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Joey Field0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jayden Lennox0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Will Clark0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Tom Blundell, 0.4) · 2-86 (Nick Kelly, 8.1) · 3-96 (Troy Johnson, 10.3) · 4-116 (Tim Robinson, 13.1) · 5-162 (Jesse Tashkoff, 17.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/1 |
| 2 | 14 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 17 | 55/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 66/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 77/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 86/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 90/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 94/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 99/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 106/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 116/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 121/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 133/4 |
| 16 | 12 | 145/4 |
| 17 | 15 | 160/4 |
| 18 | 6 | 166/5 |
| 19 | 11 | 177/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 190/5 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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