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Women Central Europe Cup · 2024 · Women
15 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Gibraltar more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Croatia started on 41%; Croatia batted first.
Croatia's chances ranged from 23% to 100% during the match (Gibraltar: 0% to 77%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIV Benatarbowled · E Vukusic 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b E Vukusic | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| N Caruanabowled · E Vukusic 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b E Vukusic | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| CT McNallycaught · S Sebastian · H Leko 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Sebastian · b H Leko | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 109.09 |
| EAS Ferrarycaught · E Vukusic · P Senjug 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · E Vukusic · b P Senjug | 4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 26.67 |
| LJ Payaslbw · L Krvaric 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b L Krvaric | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| P Raghunathlbw · E Vukusic0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b E Vukusic |
| 11 |
| 33 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| H Mumfordcaught and bowled · L Krvaric 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b L Krvaric | 14 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
|---|
| YS Blaggnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
| Ying King Tonot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 24 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Vukusic0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 3 | 6.75 | 3 | 1 |
| H Leko0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 5 | 0 |
| L Krvaric0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 3 | 1 |
| P Senjug0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 6 | 0 |
| S Kucuksucu0 maidens · 7 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 7 | 2 |
1-6 (AIV Benatar, 1.0) · 2-16 (N Caruana, 2.1) · 3-33 (CT McNally, 5.1) · 4-38 (LJ Payas, 7.0) · 5-39 (EAS Ferrary, 7.3) · 6-78 (P Raghunath, 17.1) · 7-87 (H Mumford, 18.3)
Recorded target: 128 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 25/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 34/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 38/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 41/5 |
| 9 | 3 | 44/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 48/5 |
| 11 | 6 | 54/5 |
| 12 | 1 | 55/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 60/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 64/5 |
| 15 | 3 | 67/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 74/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 78/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 87/6 |
| 19 | 6 | 93/7 |
| 20 | 5 | 98/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.