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Women's T20 Pentangular Series (in Japan) · 2025 · Women
7 Jun 2025 · T20
Sano International Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Mongolia started on 12%; Mongolia batted first.
Mongolia's chances ranged from 0% to 16% during the match (Hong Kong: 84% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Tugsjargalcaught · SYD Chan · K Mahekdeep 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SYD Chan · b K Mahekdeep | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| B Ichinkhorloobowled · Zara Haider 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zara Haider | 13 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 39.39 |
| G Anujinbowled · K Mahekdeep 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Mahekdeep | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| E Khaliunaacaught · M Bibi · K Mahekdeep 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Bibi · b K Mahekdeep | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| G Urjindulamrun out · SYD Chan, Hiu Ying Cheung · Zara Haider 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · SYD Chan, Hiu Ying Cheung | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| stumped · Hiu Ying Cheung · b Emma Lai |
| 16 |
| 25 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 64.00 |
| O Amarjargalrun out · Hiu Ying Cheung, Maira Saleem · R Sutton 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hiu Ying Cheung, Maira Saleem | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| O Erdenebaatarrun out · M Wai Siu, Maira Saleem · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Wai Siu, Maira Saleem | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| U Bayarjavkhlanbowled · Emma Lai 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Emma Lai | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| B Namuunzulnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| J Erdenesuvdrun out · Hiu Ying Cheung, R Sutton · M Wai Siu 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hiu Ying Cheung, R Sutton | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 23 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Wai Siu1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.50 | 0 | 0 |
| SYD Chan0 maidens · 8 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 8 | 2 |
| K Mahekdeep1 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Maira Saleem0 maidens · 6 wides · 3 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 6 | 3 |
| Zara Haider0 maidens · 2 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 2 | 1 |
| R Sutton0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 4 | 0 |
| Emma Lai1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-27 (J Tugsjargal, 8.1) · 2-28 (G Anujin, 8.2) · 3-28 (E Khaliunaa, 8.5) · 4-36 (G Urjindulam, 10.2) · 5-43 (B Ichinkhorloo, 11.0) · 6-63 (O Amarjargal, 14.1) · 7-68 (M Batnasan, 15.1) · 8-68 (U Bayarjavkhlan, 15.5) · 9-68 (O Erdenebaatar, 16.2) · 10-74 (J Erdenesuvd, 18.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 10/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 15/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 21/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 28/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 32/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 43/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 49/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 53/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 62/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 68/6 |
| 16 | 0 | 68/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 72/9 |
| 18 | 2 | 74/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 74/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.