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United Arab Emirates Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2025/26 · Women
2 Oct 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 41%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozacaught · T Makusha · Francisca Chipare 9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Makusha · b Francisca Chipare | 82 | 95 | 9 | 0 | 86.32 |
| Theertha Satishbowled · Loren Tshuma 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Loren Tshuma | 66 | 99 | 6 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Rinitha Rajithcaught · Loryn Phiri · L Mabhero 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Loryn Phiri · b L Mabhero | 26 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 56.52 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught · R Pasipanodya · Loryn Phiri 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · R Pasipanodya · b Loryn Phiri | 25 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 108.70 |
| S Dharnidharkanot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 17 | 1 | 0 | 105.88 |
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 40% to 100% during the match (Zimbabwe: 0% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught and bowled · b Loren Tshuma |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Lavanya Kenybowled · Josephine Nkomo 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josephine Nkomo | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Al Maseera Jahangirrun out · N Sibanda, Josephine Nkomo · Josephine Nkomo 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · N Sibanda, Josephine Nkomo | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Siya Gokhalenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 31 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Zimunu0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 6.17 | 3 | 0 |
| Josephine Nkomo0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 5.60 | 5 | 1 |
| T Makusha0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Francisca Chipare0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 49 | 1 | 5.44 | 7 | 0 |
| L Mabhero1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 45 | 1 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 8 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 5.25 | 8 | 0 |
| Loren Tshuma0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 5.25 | 5 | 0 |
1-165 (Esha Oza, 30.1) · 2-190 (Theertha Satish, 35.5) · 3-225 (Heena Hotchandani, 41.5) · 4-239 (Rinitha Rajith, 44.3) · 5-247 (MD Botha, 46.1) · 6-252 (Lavanya Keny, 47.4) · 7-273 (Al Maseera Jahangir, 49.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 23/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 29/0 |
| 7 | 10 | 39/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 41/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 47/0 |
| 10 | 9 | 56/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 62/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 64/0 |
| 13 | 3 | 67/0 |
| 14 | 10 | 77/0 |
| 15 | 6 | 83/0 |
| 16 | 0 | 83/0 |
| 17 | 2 | 85/0 |
| 18 | 4 | 89/0 |
| 19 | 8 | 97/0 |
| 20 | 2 | 99/0 |
| 21 | 6 | 105/0 |
| 22 | 2 | 107/0 |
| 23 | 3 | 110/0 |
| 24 | 7 | 117/0 |
| 25 | 7 | 124/0 |
| 26 | 8 | 132/0 |
| 27 | 10 | 142/0 |
| 28 | 3 | 145/0 |
| 29 | 9 | 154/0 |
| 30 | 11 | 165/0 |
| 31 | 4 | 169/1 |
| 32 | 3 | 172/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 174/1 |
| 34 | 5 | 179/1 |
| 35 | 7 | 186/1 |
| 36 | 4 | 190/2 |
| 37 | 5 | 195/2 |
| 38 | 6 | 201/2 |
| 39 | 5 | 206/2 |
| 40 | 7 | 213/2 |
| 41 | 7 | 220/2 |
| 42 | 7 | 227/3 |
| 43 | 7 | 234/3 |
| 44 | 3 | 237/3 |
| 45 | 4 | 241/4 |
| 46 | 6 | 247/4 |
| 47 | 3 | 250/5 |
| 48 | 8 | 258/6 |
| 49 | 11 | 269/6 |
| 50 | 5 | 274/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.