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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
11 Jun 2024 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographMiddlesex started on 32%; Middlesex batted first.
Middlesex's chances ranged from 0% to 38% during the match (Somerset: 62% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Bantonnot out 6 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 49* | 42 | 6 | 1 | 116.67 |
| Will Smeedcaught · Joe Cracknell · Tom Helm 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Tom Helm | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 30* | 30 | 3 | 1 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| 4.0 |
| 0 |
| 20 |
| 1 |
| 5.00 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Blake Cullen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
|---|
| 1.3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 13.33 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Will Smeed, 0.5)
Recorded target: 79 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 15/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 21/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 35/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 40/1 |
| 9 | 5 | 45/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 55/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 65/1 |
| 12 | 7 | 72/1 |
| 13 | 10 | 82/1 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roelof van der Merwe: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Abell: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lewis Gregory: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.