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Photo: Amanda Slater from Coventry, West Midlands, UK
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
28 Jun 2026 · T20
Old Deer Park, Richmond · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 57%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 57% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 43%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Callum Parkinson · Matthew Potts 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Callum Parkinson · b Matthew Potts | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Max Holdencaught · David Bedingham · Ben Raine 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Ben Raine | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Nathan Sowter · Ben Raine 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Sowter · b Ben Raine | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · David Bedingham · Kasey Aldridge2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · David Bedingham · b Kasey Aldridge | 34 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 161.90 |
| Ben Geddescaught · Ollie Robinson · Kasey Aldridge 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Ollie Robinson · b Kasey Aldridge |
| 4 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 44.44 |
| Josh de Cairescaught · Graham Clark · Kasey Aldridge 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Graham Clark · b Kasey Aldridge | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 175.00 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught · BS McKinney · Matthew Potts2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · BS McKinney · b Matthew Potts | 22 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Eathan Boschcaught · Colin Ackermann · Ben Raine 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Colin Ackermann · b Ben Raine | 27 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 142.11 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharcaught · BS McKinney · Matthew Potts0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BS McKinney · b Matthew Potts | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| SHB Morganrun out · Alex Lees, Ollie Robinson · Callum Parkinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Alex Lees, Ollie Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Tom Helmnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kasey Aldridge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Joe Cracknell, 0.2) · 2-13 (Max Holden, 2.2) · 3-14 (Matt Boyle, 2.4) · 4-43 (Ben Geddes, 5.5) · 5-61 (Leus du Plooy, 8.2) · 6-70 (Josh de Caires, 9.0) · 7-105 (Luke Hollman, 12.5) · 8-105 (Zafar Gohar, 13.0) · 9-110 (SHB Morgan, 13.5) · 10-118 (Eathan Bosch, 14.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/3 |
| 4 | 8 | 24/3 |
| 5 | 8 | 32/3 |
| 6 | 13 | 45/4 |
| 7 | 6 | 51/4 |
| 8 | 10 | 61/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 70/6 |
| 10 | 3 | 73/6 |
| 11 | 20 | 93/6 |
| 12 | 8 | 101/6 |
| 13 | 4 | 105/8 |
| 14 | 5 | 110/9 |
| 15 | 8 | 118/10 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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