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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
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Women's Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Women
6 Nov 2024 · T20
Bellerive Oval, Hobart · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Sixers started on 47%; Sydney Sixers batted first.
Sydney Sixers's chances ranged from 31% to 100% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 1% to 69%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ellyse Perrycaught · Elyse Villani · Heather Graham11 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Elyse Villani · b Heather Graham | 86 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 138.71 |
 Alyssa Healycaught · Nicola Carey · ZE Cooke1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicola Carey · b ZE Cooke | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Sarah Brycelbw · Chloe Tryon 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Chloe Tryon | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ashleigh Gardnercaught · Chloe Tryon · Nicola Carey2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chloe Tryon · b Nicola Carey | 21 |
| 16 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 131.25 |
 Hollie Armitagebowled · Nicola Carey4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nicola Carey | 30 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Maitlan Brownbowled · Chloe Tryon0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chloe Tryon | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
 Sophie Ecclestonecaught · Danielle Wyatt · Amy Smith0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danielle Wyatt · b Amy Smith | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Mathilda Carmichaelnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Molly Strano0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| ZE Cooke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Chloe Tryon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Heather Graham0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Amy Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Nicola Carey0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Lauren Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-12 (Alyssa Healy, 1.5) · 2-14 (Sarah Bryce, 2.2) · 3-51 (Ashleigh Gardner, 7.1) · 4-112 (Hollie Armitage, 15.0) · 5-126 (Maitlan Brown, 16.4) · 6-131 (Sophie Ecclestone, 18.0) · 7-155 (Ellyse Perry, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 25/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 35/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 51/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 55/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 62/3 |
| 10 | 10 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 83/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 89/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 95/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 100/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 112/4 |
| 16 | 11 | 123/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 126/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 131/6 |
| 19 | 16 | 147/6 |
| 20 | 8 | 155/7 |
Lauren Smith: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Sophie Ecclestone: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tabatha Saville: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mathilda Carmichael: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Cheatle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alyssa Healy: YellowMonkey · CC BY-SA 3.0
Molly Strano: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Elyse Villani: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lizelle Lee: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Caoimhe Bray: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Danielle Wyatt: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Heather Graham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Tryon: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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