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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
2 Jul 2025 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · Karun Nair · Mohammed Siraj3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karun Nair · b Mohammed Siraj | 19 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 63.33 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Shubman Gill · Akash Deep0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Akash Deep | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ollie Popecaught · KL Rahul · Akash Deep0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · KL Rahul · b Akash Deep | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught · Rishabh Pant · b Mohammed Siraj |
| 22 |
| 46 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 47.83 |
 Harry Brookbowled · Akash Deep17 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Akash Deep | 158 | 234 | 17 | 1 | 67.52 |
|---|
 Ben Stokescaught · Rishabh Pant · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rishabh Pant · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithnot out21 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 184* | 207 | 21 | 4 | 88.89 |
|---|
 Chris Woakescaught · Karun Nair · Akash Deep1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Karun Nair · b Akash Deep | 5 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 29.41 |
|---|
 Brydon Carselbw · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Josh Tonguelbw · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashirbowled · Mohammed Siraj 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 2 · noballs: 12 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akash Deep2 maidens · 1 wides · 6 no-balls | 20.0 | 2 | 88 | 4 | 4.40 | 1 | 6 |
 Mohammed Siraj3 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 19.3 | 3 | 70 | 6 | 3.59 | 0 | 4 |
| Prasidh Krishna1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 72 | 0 | 5.54 | 1 | 0 |
 Nitish Kumar Reddy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 4.83 | 0 | 0 |
 Ravindra Jadeja2 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 17.0 | 2 | 70 | 0 | 4.12 | 0 | 2 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 5.21 | 0 | 0 |
1-13 (Ben Duckett, 2.4) · 2-13 (Ollie Pope, 2.5) · 3-25 (Zak Crawley, 7.1) · 4-84 (Joe Root, 21.3) · 5-84 (Ben Stokes, 21.4) · 6-387 (Harry Brook, 82.2) · 7-395 (Chris Woakes, 86.5) · 8-396 (Brydon Carse, 87.5) · 9-407 (Josh Tongue, 89.1) · 10-407 (Shoaib Bashir, 89.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 13/2 |
| 5 | 3 | 16/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 18/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 25/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 25/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 27/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 33/3 |
| 11 | 11 | 44/3 |
| 12 | 6 | 50/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 55/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 61/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 66/3 |
| 16 | 1 | 67/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 71/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 72/3 |
| 19 | 0 | 72/3 |
| 20 | 5 | 77/3 |
| 21 | 6 | 83/3 |
| 22 | 5 | 88/5 |
| 23 | 1 | 89/5 |
| 24 | 10 | 99/5 |
| 25 | 9 | 108/5 |
| 26 | 1 | 109/5 |
| 27 | 7 | 116/5 |
| 28 | 7 | 123/5 |
| 29 | 7 | 130/5 |
| 30 | 2 | 132/5 |
| 31 | 5 | 137/5 |
| 32 | 23 | 160/5 |
| 33 | 2 | 162/5 |
| 34 | 11 | 173/5 |
| 35 | 2 | 175/5 |
| 36 | 7 | 182/5 |
| 37 | 6 | 188/5 |
| 38 | 10 | 198/5 |
| 39 | 11 | 209/5 |
| 40 | 2 | 211/5 |
| 41 | 3 | 214/5 |
| 42 | 9 | 223/5 |
| 43 | 5 | 228/5 |
| 44 | 3 | 231/5 |
| 45 | 5 | 236/5 |
| 46 | 3 | 239/5 |
| 47 | 10 | 249/5 |
| 48 | 6 | 255/5 |
| 49 | 3 | 258/5 |
| 50 | 5 | 263/5 |
| 51 | 6 | 269/5 |
| 52 | 10 | 279/5 |
| 53 | 0 | 279/5 |
| 54 | 5 | 284/5 |
| 55 | 1 | 285/5 |
| 56 | 4 | 289/5 |
| 57 | 1 | 290/5 |
| 58 | 7 | 297/5 |
| 59 | 1 | 298/5 |
| 60 | 3 | 301/5 |
| 61 | 3 | 304/5 |
| 62 | 9 | 313/5 |
| 63 | 6 | 319/5 |
| 64 | 4 | 323/5 |
| 65 | 2 | 325/5 |
| 66 | 3 | 328/5 |
| 67 | 1 | 329/5 |
| 68 | 1 | 330/5 |
| 69 | 0 | 330/5 |
| 70 | 4 | 334/5 |
| 71 | 3 | 337/5 |
| 72 | 1 | 338/5 |
| 73 | 2 | 340/5 |
| 74 | 12 | 352/5 |
| 75 | 3 | 355/5 |
| 76 | 4 | 359/5 |
| 77 | 6 | 365/5 |
| 78 | 1 | 366/5 |
| 79 | 7 | 373/5 |
| 80 | 3 | 376/5 |
| 81 | 3 | 379/5 |
| 82 | 7 | 386/5 |
| 83 | 1 | 387/6 |
| 84 | 5 | 392/6 |
| 85 | 3 | 395/6 |
| 86 | 0 | 395/6 |
| 87 | 0 | 395/7 |
| 88 | 1 | 396/8 |
| 89 | 11 | 407/8 |
| 90 | 0 | 407/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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