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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
14 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 47%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Hong Kong: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Waheedcaught · Anshuman Rath · Aizaz Khan 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Anshuman Rath · b Aizaz Khan | 77 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 150.98 |
| Saad Khanlbw · Dhananjay Rao 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Dhananjay Rao | 9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 81.82 |
| Faisal Khancaught · Anshuman Rath · Raunaq Kapur 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Anshuman Rath · b Raunaq Kapur | 30 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 125.00 |
| Manan Alicaught · Anshuman Rath · Ayush Shukla 2 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Anshuman Rath · b Ayush Shukla | 44 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 244.44 |
| Waji Ul Hassancaught · Dhananjay Rao · Aizaz Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dhananjay Rao · b Aizaz Khan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| bowled · b Ehsan Khan |
| 22 |
| 10 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 220.00 |
| Usman Khalidbowled · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ehsan Khan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Zain Ul Abidincaught · Nizakat Khan · Ehsan Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nizakat Khan · b Ehsan Khan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Usman Najeebnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmadnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 6* | 1 | 0 | 1 | 600.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayush Shukla0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Dhananjay Rao0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Yasim Murtaza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Ehsan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Raunaq Kapur0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nasrulla Rana0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Aizaz Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-28 (Saad Khan, 3.5) · 2-115 (Faisal Khan, 13.1) · 3-141 (Abdul Waheed, 15.2) · 4-143 (Waji Ul Hassan, 15.4) · 5-191 (Manan Ali, 19.0) · 6-195 (Hisham Sheikh, 19.2) · 7-195 (Zain Ul Abidin, 19.3) · 8-196 (Usman Khalid, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 14/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 21/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 28/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 40/1 |
| 6 | 19 | 59/1 |
| 7 | 5 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 81/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 88/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 96/1 |
| 12 | 8 | 104/1 |
| 13 | 11 | 115/1 |
| 14 | 16 | 131/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 140/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 145/4 |
| 17 | 12 | 157/4 |
| 18 | 15 | 172/4 |
| 19 | 19 | 191/5 |
| 20 | 11 | 202/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.