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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
14 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Saudi Arabia started on 47%; Saudi Arabia batted first.
Saudi Arabia's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Hong Kong: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yasim Murtazalbw · Ishtiaq Ahmad 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ishtiaq Ahmad | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Anshuman Rathcaught · Abdul Waheed · Hisham Sheikh 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Abdul Waheed · b Hisham Sheikh | 29 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 170.59 |
| Nizakat Khancaught · Faisal Khan · Usman Najeeb 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Faisal Khan · b Usman Najeeb | 73 | 51 | 7 | 2 | 143.14 |
| Babar Hayatcaught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Hisham Sheikh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ishtiaq Ahmad · b Hisham Sheikh | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aizaz Khancaught · Faisal Khan · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Faisal Khan · b Zain Ul Abidin | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Zeeshan Alibowled · Zain Ul Abidin 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Zain Ul Abidin |
| 18 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 105.88 |
| Nasrulla Ranalbw · Zain Ul Abidin 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zain Ul Abidin | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Ehsan Khanbowled · Usman Najeeb 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Usman Najeeb | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Raunaq Kapurrun out · Ishtiaq Ahmad · Ishtiaq Ahmad 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ishtiaq Ahmad | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Ayush Shuklanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Dhananjay Raobowled · Usman Najeeb 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Usman Najeeb | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ishtiaq Ahmad0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Ahmad Raza0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Najeeb0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.61 | 4 | 0 |
| Hisham Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 2 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Zain Ul Abidin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Khalid0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Yasim Murtaza, 0.5) · 2-57 (Anshuman Rath, 5.3) · 3-57 (Babar Hayat, 5.5) · 4-62 (Aizaz Khan, 7.0) · 5-103 (Zeeshan Ali, 12.1) · 6-105 (Nasrulla Rana, 12.4) · 7-117 (Ehsan Khan, 15.0) · 8-138 (Raunaq Kapur, 17.3) · 9-147 (Nizakat Khan, 18.3) · 10-147 (Dhananjay Rao, 18.5)
Recorded target: 203 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 10 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 51/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 57/3 |
| 7 | 5 | 62/4 |
| 8 | 9 | 71/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 75/4 |
| 10 | 6 | 81/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 86/4 |
| 12 | 17 | 103/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 106/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 109/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 117/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 123/7 |
| 17 | 10 | 133/7 |
| 18 | 11 | 144/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 147/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.