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Bangladesh tour of West Indies · 2024/25 · Men
22 Nov 2024 · Test
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mahmudul Hasan Joycaught · Alick Athanaze · Alzarri Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alick Athanaze · b Alzarri Joseph | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 15.15 |
 Zakir Hasanbowled · Jayden Seales3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 15 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 44.12 |
 Mominul Haquelbw · Jayden Seales3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Jayden Seales | 50 | 116 | 3 | 0 | 43.10 |
| caught · Kavem Hodge · b Kemar Roach |
| 18 |
| 71 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 25.35 |
 Litton Dasbowled · Shamar Joseph3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 40 | 76 | 3 | 0 | 52.63 |
|---|
 Mehedi Hasancaught · Mikyle Louis · Alzarri Joseph3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mikyle Louis · b Alzarri Joseph | 23 | 67 | 3 | 0 | 34.33 |
|---|
 Jaker Alicaught · Jayden Seales · Justin Greaves4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jayden Seales · b Justin Greaves | 53 | 89 | 4 | 0 | 59.55 |
|---|
 Taijul Islambowled · Alzarri Joseph3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alzarri Joseph | 25 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 39.68 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudcaught · Alick Athanaze · Justin Greaves0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alick Athanaze · b Justin Greaves | 8 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Taskin Ahmednot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 21 | 2 | 0 | 52.38 |
|---|
 Shariful Islamnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 8 · wides: 1 · noballs: 6 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kemar Roach4 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 15.0 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 3 |
| Jayden Seales7 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 7 | 42 | 2 | 2.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Alzarri Joseph7 maidens · 0 wides · 3 no-balls | 25.0 | 7 | 69 | 3 | 2.76 | 0 | 3 |
| Shamar Joseph3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 17.0 | 3 | 55 | 1 | 3.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavem Hodge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 2.63 | 0 | 0 |
| Alick Athanaze0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Greaves0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 11.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 3.09 | 1 | 0 |
1-20 (Zakir Hasan, 10.0) · 2-21 (Mahmudul Hasan Joy, 11.0) · 3-66 (Shahadat Hossain, 32.2) · 4-128 (Mominul Haque, 49.1) · 5-145 (Litton Das, 59.4) · 6-166 (Mehedi Hasan, 69.5) · 7-234 (Taijul Islam, 88.5) · 8-246 (Jaker Ali, 91.5) · 9-257 (Hasan Mahmud, 95.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 4/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 4/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 20/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 21/2 |
| 12 | 0 | 21/2 |
| 13 | 2 | 23/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 26/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 27/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 32/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 33/2 |
| 18 | 0 | 33/2 |
| 19 | 3 | 36/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 40/2 |
| 21 | 0 | 40/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 41/2 |
| 23 | 0 | 41/2 |
| 24 | 3 | 44/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 46/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 51/2 |
| 27 | 5 | 56/2 |
| 28 | 8 | 64/2 |
| 29 | 0 | 64/2 |
| 30 | 0 | 64/2 |
| 31 | 0 | 64/2 |
| 32 | 2 | 66/2 |
| 33 | 3 | 69/3 |
| 34 | 4 | 73/3 |
| 35 | 2 | 75/3 |
| 36 | 0 | 75/3 |
| 37 | 2 | 77/3 |
| 38 | 5 | 82/3 |
| 39 | 3 | 85/3 |
| 40 | 2 | 87/3 |
| 41 | 1 | 88/3 |
| 42 | 2 | 90/3 |
| 43 | 5 | 95/3 |
| 44 | 4 | 99/3 |
| 45 | 6 | 105/3 |
| 46 | 2 | 107/3 |
| 47 | 10 | 117/3 |
| 48 | 3 | 120/3 |
| 49 | 8 | 128/3 |
| 50 | 3 | 131/4 |
| 51 | 4 | 135/4 |
| 52 | 4 | 139/4 |
| 53 | 0 | 139/4 |
| 54 | 1 | 140/4 |
| 55 | 1 | 141/4 |
| 56 | 0 | 141/4 |
| 57 | 0 | 141/4 |
| 58 | 3 | 144/4 |
| 59 | 1 | 145/4 |
| 60 | 0 | 145/5 |
| 61 | 0 | 145/5 |
| 62 | 0 | 145/5 |
| 63 | 5 | 150/5 |
| 64 | 2 | 152/5 |
| 65 | 2 | 154/5 |
| 66 | 6 | 160/5 |
| 67 | 3 | 163/5 |
| 68 | 2 | 165/5 |
| 69 | 1 | 166/5 |
| 70 | 1 | 167/6 |
| 71 | 2 | 169/6 |
| 72 | 3 | 172/6 |
| 73 | 5 | 177/6 |
| 74 | 9 | 186/6 |
| 75 | 3 | 189/6 |
| 76 | 1 | 190/6 |
| 77 | 1 | 191/6 |
| 78 | 1 | 192/6 |
| 79 | 3 | 195/6 |
| 80 | 1 | 196/6 |
| 81 | 7 | 203/6 |
| 82 | 0 | 203/6 |
| 83 | 4 | 207/6 |
| 84 | 11 | 218/6 |
| 85 | 2 | 220/6 |
| 86 | 5 | 225/6 |
| 87 | 7 | 232/6 |
| 88 | 1 | 233/6 |
| 89 | 1 | 234/7 |
| 90 | 6 | 240/7 |
| 91 | 2 | 242/7 |
| 92 | 4 | 246/8 |
| 93 | 5 | 251/8 |
| 94 | 2 | 253/8 |
| 95 | 4 | 257/8 |
| 96 | 4 | 261/9 |
| 97 | 1 | 262/9 |
| 98 | 7 | 269/9 |
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mahmudul Hasan Joy: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mominul Haque: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Taijul Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kemar Roach: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Zakir Hasan: Press Information Department · Public domain
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shariful Islam: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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