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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
15 Jan 2026 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 54%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 0% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Allencaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · Adam Zampa 5 fours · 8 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b Adam Zampa | 101 | 53 | 5 | 8 | 190.57 |
1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Gurinder Sandhu · b Sam Elliott | 20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Cooper Connollycaught · Hasan Khan · Will Sutherland 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hasan Khan · b Will Sutherland | 18 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Aaron Hardiecaught · Brendan Doggett · Sam Elliott 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Brendan Doggett · b Sam Elliott | 22 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 200.00 |
| caught · Tim Seifert · b Brendan Doggett |
| 13 |
| 6 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 216.67 |
| Laurie Evanscaught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · Sam Elliott 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jake Fraser-McGurk · b Sam Elliott | 21 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 190.91 |
|---|
| Nick Hobsoncaught · Adam Zampa · Sam Elliott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Zampa · b Sam Elliott | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Jhye Richardsonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 4* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Luke Holtnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 8* | 4 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasan Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gurinder Sandhu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 47 | 0 | 15.67 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sam Elliott0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 9.33 | 2 | 0 |
1-64 (Mitchell Marsh, 7.1) · 2-120 (Cooper Connolly, 11.4) · 3-164 (Aaron Hardie, 14.4) · 4-180 (Ashton Turner, 15.5) · 5-182 (Finn Allen, 16.4) · 6-205 (Laurie Evans, 18.3) · 7-206 (Nick Hobson, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 18 | 30/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 41/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 48/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 55/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 64/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 65/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 77/1 |
| 10 | 9 | 86/1 |
| 11 | 20 | 106/1 |
| 12 | 14 | 120/2 |
| 13 | 20 | 140/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 152/2 |
| 15 | 15 | 167/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 180/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 183/5 |
| 18 | 14 | 197/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 209/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 219/7 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Brendan Doggett: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.