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Photo: Joe.Bekker at English Wikipedia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
15 Jan 2026 · T20
Docklands Stadium, Melbourne · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 54%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Melbourne Renegades: 0% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Seifertcaught · Cooper Connolly · Aaron Hardie 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Cooper Connolly · b Aaron Hardie | 66 | 43 | 4 | 4 | 153.49 |
| Josh Brownlbw · Cooper Connolly 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Cooper Connolly | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jake Fraser-McGurkcaught · BL Couch · Luke Holt 2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · BL Couch · b Luke Holt | 42 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 233.33 |
 Mohammad Rizwancaught · Laurie Evans · Mahli Beardman0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Laurie Evans · b Mahli Beardman | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Harry Dixonretired hurt · Mahli Beardman 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| retired hurt |
| 1* |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Hasan Khancaught · Ashton Turner · Mahli Beardman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Mahli Beardman | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Will Sutherlandbowled · Cooper Connolly1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Cooper Connolly | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Sam Elliottrun out · Luke Holt · Jhye Richardson 1 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Luke Holt | 13 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 72.22 |
|---|
| Gurinder Sandhunot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 15* | 12 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
 Brendan Doggettnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| David Payne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jhye Richardson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 12.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Luke Holt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahli Beardman0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 1 |
| Aaron Hardie0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 4 | 0 |
1-1 (Josh Brown, 1.0) · 2-50 (Jake Fraser-McGurk, 5.3) · 3-53 (Mohammad Rizwan, 6.1) · 4-71 (Hasan Khan, 8.4) · 5-82 (Will Sutherland, 9.5) · 6-142 (Tim Seifert, 15.5) · 7-142 (Sam Elliott, 16.2)
Recorded target: 220 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 19 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 16 | 40/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 43/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 61/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 69/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 73/4 |
| 10 | 9 | 82/5 |
| 11 | 12 | 94/5 |
| 12 | 2 | 96/5 |
| 13 | 13 | 109/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 121/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 133/5 |
| 16 | 9 | 142/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 148/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 156/7 |
| 19 | 6 | 162/7 |
| 20 | 7 | 169/7 |
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Brendan Doggett: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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