OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier · 2024 · Men
9 Jun 2024 · T20
Recorded result
France more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
France started on 54%; France batted first.
France's chances ranged from 32% to 100% during the match (Isle of Man: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H Niazcaught · Oliver Webster · MJ Ansell 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Oliver Webster · b MJ Ansell | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Zain Ahmadlbw · Oliver Webster 1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Oliver Webster | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 109.09 |
| G Mckeonbowled · L Ward 1 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b L Ward | 34 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 130.77 |
| C Robertscaught · EF Beard · Oliver Webster 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · EF Beard · b Oliver Webster | 24 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 96.00 |
| L Canessanecaught · JA Burrows · K Cawte 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JA Burrows · b K Cawte | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Usman Khan |
| bowled · b K Cawte |
| 25 |
| 20 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 125.00 |
| Kamran Ahmadzaibowled · Oliver Webster 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Oliver Webster | 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Noman Amjadcaught · MJ Ansell · CJ Langford 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MJ Ansell · b CJ Langford | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Zaheer Zahirinot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Dawood Ahmadzainot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Ansell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| CJ Langford0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Oliver Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Burrows0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
| K Cawte0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| L Ward0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-16 (H Niaz, 2.5) · 2-30 (Zain Ahmad, 4.4) · 3-83 (G Mckeon, 11.3) · 4-87 (C Roberts, 12.4) · 5-111 (L Canessane, 15.3) · 6-128 (Kamran Ahmadzai, 16.5) · 7-140 (Noman Amjad, 18.4) · 8-142 (Usman Khan, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 22/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 3 | 34/2 |
| 7 | 13 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 11 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 10 | 68/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 76/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 81/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 90/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 101/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 106/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 114/5 |
| 17 | 14 | 128/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 136/6 |
| 19 | 5 | 141/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 149/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.