Hyderabad KingsmenversusIslamabad United

24 Apr 2026 · T20

National Stadium, Karachi · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Islamabad United won by 8 wickets

Hyderabad Kingsmen15.5 overs80/10 Islamabad United6.4 overs83/2 National Stadium, Karachi ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Hyderabad Kingsmen started on 45%; Hyderabad Kingsmen batted first.

Hyderabad Kingsmen’s chance of winning (%) · Islamabad United is the rest

Hyderabad Kingsmen's chances ranged from 0% to 46% during the match (Islamabad United: 54% to 100%).

Biggest swings

0.1: RJ Gleeson to Maaz Sadaqat, Maaz Sadaqat out. Islamabad United up from 54% to 70%.
2.2: RJ Gleeson to M Labuschagne, M Labuschagne out. Islamabad United up from 65% to 75%.
4.4: RJ Gleeson to Saim Ayub, Saim Ayub out. Islamabad United up from 73% to 82%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Hyderabad Kingsmen80/10 Islamabad United83/2

Innings 1