Gujarat GiantsversusUP Warriorz

11 Mar 2024 · T20

Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gujarat Giants won by 8 runs

Gujarat Giants20.0 overs152/8 UP Warriorz20.0 overs144/5 Arun Jaitley Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Gujarat Giants started on 45%; Gujarat Giants batted first.

Gujarat Giants’s chance of winning (%) · UP Warriorz is the rest

Gujarat Giants's chances ranged from 25% to 98% during the match (UP Warriorz: 2% to 75%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 0.6: SM Shakil to AC Jayangani, AC Jayangani out. Gujarat Giants up from 49% to 63%.
2nd inns 1.2: KE Bryce to KP Navgire, KP Navgire out. Gujarat Giants up from 63% to 85%.
2nd inns 3.4: A Gardner to GM Harris, GM Harris out. Gujarat Giants up from 74% to 91%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Gujarat Giants chose to bat
Player of the match: Shabnam Shakil
match referees: AV Narvekar
reserve umpires: VG Rathi
tv umpires: A Bengeri
umpires: Gayathri Venugopal, P Jayapal

Match history & source

On 11 Mar 2024, Gujarat Giants played UP Warriorz at Arun Jaitley Stadium. Recorded result: Gujarat Giants won by 8 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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