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Photo: Mattbuck
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
3 Jul 2026 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 51%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 3% to 65% during the match (Lancashire: 35% to 97%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michael Jonesstumped · Tom Moores · George Linde3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Tom Moores · b George Linde | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Keaton Jenningscaught · Liam Patterson-White 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · b Liam Patterson-White | 42 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 144.83 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · Liam Patterson-White · Benny Howell 2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Liam Patterson-White · b Benny Howell | 47 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 151.61 |
| Ben McDermottcaught · Jack Haynes · Liam Patterson-White 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jack Haynes · b Liam Patterson-White | 24 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
| J Moorescaught · Jack Haynes · Oli Stone1 fours · 2 sixes |
| caught · Jack Haynes · b Oli Stone |
| 30 |
| 21 |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 142.86 |
 Shadab Khancaught · Oli Stone · Mohammad Ali2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Oli Stone · b Mohammad Ali | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
|---|
| Matthew Hurstrun out · Benny Howell · Oli Stone 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Benny Howell | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Jack Blatherwicknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Amir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Mohammad Ali0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| George Linde0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Benny Howell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-43 (Michael Jones, 4.1) · 2-78 (Keaton Jennings, 8.3) · 3-127 (Ben McDermott, 14.1) · 4-149 (Liam Livingstone, 15.4) · 5-163 (Shadab Khan, 18.0) · 6-178 (J Moores, 19.5) · 7-180 (Matthew Hurst, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 27/0 |
| 4 | 16 | 43/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 45/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 67/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 76/1 |
| 9 | 4 | 80/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 88/2 |
| 11 | 11 | 99/2 |
| 12 | 8 | 107/2 |
| 13 | 14 | 121/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 127/2 |
| 15 | 9 | 136/3 |
| 16 | 15 | 151/4 |
| 17 | 10 | 161/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 163/5 |
| 19 | 10 | 173/5 |
| 20 | 7 | 180/7 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Anderson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Jones: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Benny Howell: Evertonfc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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