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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 43%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Northamptonshire: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smeedcaught · Louis Kimber · Calvin Harrison 3 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Louis Kimber · b Calvin Harrison | 48 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 154.84 |
| Thomas Rewcaught · Calvin Harrison · Saif Zaib 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Saif Zaib | 57 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 190.00 |
| James Rewcaught · Calvin Harrison · Ben Sanderson 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Calvin Harrison · b Ben Sanderson | 30 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 150.00 |
 Tom Kohler-Cadmorecaught · George Bartlett · Calvin Harrison0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · George Bartlett · b Calvin Harrison | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Lewis Goldsworthynot out 2 fours · 0 sixes |
| not out |
| 19* |
| 17 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 111.76 |
 Daniel Samsnot out4 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 48* | 16 | 4 | 4 | 300.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 0 | 0 |
| James Sales0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 13.25 | 9 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-104 (Thomas Rew, 9.2) · 2-114 (Will Smeed, 10.4) · 3-122 (Tom Kohler-Cadmore, 12.2) · 4-163 (James Rew, 16.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 34/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 46/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 61/0 |
| 7 | 17 | 78/0 |
| 8 | 12 | 90/0 |
| 9 | 10 | 100/0 |
| 10 | 8 | 108/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 114/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 121/2 |
| 13 | 12 | 133/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 145/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 149/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 160/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 167/4 |
| 18 | 21 | 188/4 |
| 19 | 13 | 201/4 |
| 20 | 22 | 223/4 |
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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