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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Somerset started on 43%; Somerset batted first.
Somerset's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Northamptonshire: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconceloscaught · Jake Ball · Lewis Goldsworthy 8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jake Ball · b Lewis Goldsworthy | 40 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 173.91 |
| Nathan McSweeneylbw · Craig Overton 3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Craig Overton | 14 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 107.69 |
| Calvin Harrisoncaught · Craig Overton · Josh Thomas 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Craig Overton · b Josh Thomas | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 105.88 |
 David Willeycaught · Josh Thomas · Lewis Goldsworthy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Thomas · b Lewis Goldsworthy | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Saif Zaibbowled · Lewis Goldsworthy 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Lewis Goldsworthy |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Louis Kimberbowled · Josh Thomas 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Thomas | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
|---|
| Lewis McManuscaught · Lewis Goldsworthy · Josh Shaw 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis Goldsworthy · b Josh Shaw | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 108.33 |
|---|
| George Bartlettstumped · Thomas Rew · Josh Thomas 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Thomas Rew · b Josh Thomas | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| James Salescaught · Lewis Goldsworthy · Josh Thomas 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lewis Goldsworthy · b Josh Thomas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
 Ben Sandersoncaught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · Josh Shaw0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Kohler-Cadmore · b Josh Shaw | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 George Scrimshawnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Craig Overton1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Riley Meredith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Shaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Jake Ball0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Lewis Goldsworthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Thomas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-49 (Nathan McSweeney, 4.5) · 2-65 (Ricardo Vasconcelos, 7.1) · 3-67 (David Willey, 7.4) · 4-67 (Saif Zaib, 8.0) · 5-86 (Louis Kimber, 10.5) · 6-99 (Calvin Harrison, 12.3) · 7-103 (George Bartlett, 13.0) · 8-115 (James Sales, 14.4) · 9-117 (Lewis McManus, 15.1) · 10-118 (Ben Sanderson, 15.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 21 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 35/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 65/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 67/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 76/4 |
| 10 | 8 | 84/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 87/5 |
| 12 | 11 | 98/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 103/7 |
| 14 | 11 | 114/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 117/8 |
| 16 | 1 | 118/10 |
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Craig Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jake Ball: Dun.can · CC BY 2.0
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Josh Shaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Kohler-Cadmore: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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