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Photo: AssociateAffiliate
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Hampshire started on 63%; Hampshire batted first.
Hampshire's chances ranged from 28% to 99% during the match (Kent: 1% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Albertbowled · Hasan Mahmud 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Hasan Mahmud | 13 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 144.44 |
 James Vincelbw · Jacob Lintott8 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Jacob Lintott | 63 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 157.50 |
| Joe Weatherleynot out 2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 61* | 47 | 2 | 3 | 129.79 |
| Tristan Stubbsbowled · Grant Stewart 2 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Grant Stewart | 41 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 170.83 |
| Hilton Cartwrightnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras |
| byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 |
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Hasan Mahmud0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12.50 | 2 | 2 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (Toby Albert, 2.0) · 2-116 (James Vince, 12.1) · 3-182 (Tristan Stubbs, 19.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 11 | 61/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 74/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 84/1 |
| 10 | 13 | 97/1 |
| 11 | 15 | 112/1 |
| 12 | 4 | 116/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 124/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 128/2 |
| 15 | 11 | 139/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 144/2 |
| 17 | 14 | 158/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 164/2 |
| 19 | 18 | 182/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 190/3 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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