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Photo: AssociateAffiliate
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
The Rose Bowl, Southampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Hampshire started on 63%; Hampshire batted first.
Hampshire's chances ranged from 28% to 99% during the match (Kent: 1% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tawanda Muyeyecaught · Joe Weatherley · James Fuller 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Joe Weatherley · b James Fuller | 50 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 166.67 |
 Daniel Bell-Drummondbowled · Sonny Baker2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sonny Baker | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 128.57 |
 Zak Crawleylbw · Andrew Neal1 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Andrew Neal | 33 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 194.12 |
 Sam Billingscaught · Hilton Cartwright · Scott Currie1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Scott Currie | 18 | 15 | 1 |
| 1 |
| 120.00 |
 Harry Finchbowled · Sonny Baker0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sonny Baker | 9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
 Grant Stewartcaught · Tristan Stubbs · Chris Wood2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tristan Stubbs · b Chris Wood | 25 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 156.25 |
|---|
| Tom Rogersbowled · Scott Currie 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Scott Currie | 13 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 130.00 |
|---|
| Jacob Lintottcaught · Hilton Cartwright · Scott Currie 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hilton Cartwright · b Scott Currie | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Matt Milnescaught · Andrew Neal · Sonny Baker0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Neal · b Sonny Baker | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Hasan Mahmudnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
 Joe Denlybowled · Sonny Baker0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sonny Baker | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Wood0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 11.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Sonny Baker0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Currie0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 7.50 | 0 | 1 |
| James Fuller0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Neal0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
1-16 (Daniel Bell-Drummond, 1.5) · 2-82 (Zak Crawley, 7.1) · 3-102 (Tawanda Muyeye, 10.4) · 4-118 (Sam Billings, 12.2) · 5-144 (Harry Finch, 15.2) · 6-158 (Grant Stewart, 16.4) · 7-168 (Jacob Lintott, 18.2) · 8-171 (Tom Rogers, 19.0) · 9-171 (Matt Milnes, 19.1) · 10-171 (Joe Denly, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 11 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 18 | 45/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 55/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 70/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 82/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 86/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 92/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 95/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 103/3 |
| 12 | 14 | 117/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 126/4 |
| 14 | 11 | 137/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 144/4 |
| 16 | 3 | 147/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 158/6 |
| 18 | 9 | 167/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 171/8 |
| 20 | 0 | 171/10 |
James Vince: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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