Delhi CapitalsversusKolkata Knight Riders

8 May 2026 · T20

Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Kolkata Knight Riders won by 8 wickets

Delhi Capitals20.0 overs142/8 Kolkata Knight Riders14.2 overs147/2 Arun Jaitley Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Delhi Capitals started on 49%; Delhi Capitals batted first.

Delhi Capitals’s chance of winning (%) · Kolkata Knight Riders is the rest

Delhi Capitals's chances ranged from 0% to 69% during the match (Kolkata Knight Riders: 31% to 100%).

Biggest swings

4.6: Kartik Tyagi to KL Rahul, KL Rahul out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 31% to 41%.
10.1: AS Roy to P Nissanka, P Nissanka out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 55% to 63%.
10.5: AS Roy to T Stubbs, T Stubbs out. Kolkata Knight Riders up from 62% to 74%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.