OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Neweditorpk
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Sri Lanka tour of Pakistan · 2026/27 · Men
11 Oct 2026 · T20
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Pakistan more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Pakistan started on 78%; Pakistan batted first.
Pakistan's chances ranged from 75% to 100% during the match (Sri Lanka: 0% to 25%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhancaught · Mahesh Theekshana · Dasun Shanaka 4 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Mahesh Theekshana · b Dasun Shanaka | 73 | 44 | 4 | 5 | 165.91 |
 Fakhar Zamancaught · Kamindu Mendis · Mahesh Theekshana4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamindu Mendis · b Mahesh Theekshana | 22 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 129.41 |
| Maaz Sadaqatcaught · Dasun Shanaka · Eshan Malinga 6 fours · 7 sixes | caught · Dasun Shanaka · b Eshan Malinga | 96 | 51 | 6 | 7 | 188.24 |
| Hassan Nawaznot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 19* | 9 | 1 | 1 | 211.11 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|
| Binura Fernando0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuwan Thushara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahesh Theekshana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 55 | 1 | 13.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Eshan Malinga0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Dasun Shanaka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamindu Mendis0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 1 |
1-55 (Fakhar Zaman, 6.5) · 2-143 (Sahibzada Farhan, 14.5) · 3-215 (Maaz Sadaqat, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 24/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 28/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 35/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 46/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 59/1 |
| 9 | 17 | 76/1 |
| 10 | 14 | 90/1 |
| 11 | 12 | 102/1 |
| 12 | 13 | 115/1 |
| 13 | 15 | 130/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 131/1 |
| 15 | 14 | 145/2 |
| 16 | 22 | 167/2 |
| 17 | 11 | 178/2 |
| 18 | 16 | 194/2 |
| 19 | 16 | 210/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 215/3 |
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Naseem Shah: BBC Urdu · CC BY 3.0
Fakhar Zaman: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Abrar Ahmed: Nazly Ahmed · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
.jpg){kind=link}