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Bangladesh tour of United Arab Emirates · 2025 · Men
17 May 2025 · T20
Sharjah Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 39%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 33% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 68%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanzid Hasancaught · Rahul Chopra · Matiullah Khan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b Matiullah Khan | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 111.11 |
| Parvez Hossain Emonbowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 5 fours · 9 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 100 | 54 | 5 | 9 | 185.19 |
 Litton Daslbw · Muhammad Jawadullah0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 137.50 |
 Tawhid Hridoycaught · Muhammad Zohaib · D Parashar1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Muhammad Zohaib · b D Parashar | 20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
| caught · Rahul Chopra · b Muhammad Jawadullah |
| 2 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 40.00 |
 Jaker Alicaught · Sanchit Sharma · Zuhaib Zubair0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Sanchit Sharma · b Zuhaib Zubair | 13 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 92.86 |
|---|
 Shamim Hossainlbw · Muhammad Jawadullah1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
 Tanzim Hasan Sakibnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Tanvir Islamnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 10 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Parashar0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Matiullah Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 46 | 1 | 11.50 | 2 | 3 |
| Haider Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 5.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Sanchit Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-13 (Tanzid Hasan, 1.4) · 2-49 (Litton Das, 5.1) · 3-107 (Tawhid Hridoy, 10.3) · 4-112 (Mahedi Hasan, 11.5) · 5-140 (Jaker Ali, 15.2) · 6-173 (Shamim Hossain, 17.3) · 7-185 (Parvez Hossain Emon, 19.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 12 | 27/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 49/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 55/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 60/2 |
| 8 | 22 | 82/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 89/2 |
| 10 | 14 | 103/2 |
| 11 | 7 | 110/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 113/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 116/4 |
| 14 | 7 | 123/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 134/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 149/5 |
| 17 | 20 | 169/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 176/6 |
| 19 | 9 | 185/6 |
| 20 | 6 | 191/7 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Tanzim Hasan Sakib: Cricket Today · CC BY 3.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Hasan Mahmud: Press Information Department · Public domain
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamim Hossain: DelwarHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Litton Das: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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