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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
13 Jun 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Derbyshire started on 44%; Derbyshire batted first.
Derbyshire's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkecaught · Patrick Brown · Samit Patel 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Patrick Brown · b Samit Patel | 59 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 163.89 |
| Lyndon Jamescaught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Fynn Hudson-Prentice · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jack Hayneslbw · Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Freddie McCannbowled · Fynn Hudson-Prentice 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fynn Hudson-Prentice | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Matthew Montgomerybowled · Samit Patel 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samit Patel | 27 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 142.11 |
 Tom Mooresbowled · Samit Patel1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samit Patel | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Daniel Samscaught · Patrick Brown · Fynn Hudson-Prentice0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Patrick Brown · b Fynn Hudson-Prentice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Liam Patterson-Whitecaught and bowled · Patrick Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Patrick Brown | 13 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 65.00 |
|---|
| Calvin Harrisonnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 22* | 14 | 3 | 0 | 157.14 |
|---|
| Robert Lordbowled · Patrick Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Patrick Brown | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allah Mohammad Ghazanfar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Ben Aitchison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Fynn Hudson-Prentice0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Brown0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Samit Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Martin Andersson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (Lyndon James, 0.3) · 2-13 (Jack Haynes, 2.1) · 3-22 (Freddie McCann, 3.2) · 4-87 (Matthew Montgomery, 9.4) · 5-99 (Joe Clarke, 11.5) · 6-111 (Tom Moores, 13.4) · 7-120 (Daniel Sams, 15.3) · 8-151 (Liam Patterson-White, 19.2) · 9-153 (Robert Lord, 20.0)
Recorded target: 200 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 22/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 29/3 |
| 5 | 12 | 41/3 |
| 6 | 14 | 55/3 |
| 7 | 9 | 64/3 |
| 8 | 6 | 70/3 |
| 9 | 14 | 84/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 89/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 98/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 100/5 |
| 13 | 9 | 109/5 |
| 14 | 3 | 112/6 |
| 15 | 1 | 113/6 |
| 16 | 11 | 124/7 |
| 17 | 9 | 133/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 139/7 |
| 19 | 11 | 150/7 |
| 20 | 3 | 153/9 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fynn Hudson-Prentice: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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