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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Women's Asia Cup · 2026 · Women
8 Sept 2026 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 33%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 13% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 87%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esha Ozabowled · Marufa Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Marufa Akter | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Theertha Satishcaught · Sobhana Mostary · Sultana Khatun 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sobhana Mostary · b Sultana Khatun | 11 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 45.83 |
| S Dharnidharkacaught · Nigar Sultana · Marufa Akter 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nigar Sultana · b Marufa Akter | 8 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 42.11 |
| Rinitha Rajithcaught · Juairiya Ferdous · Rabeya Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Juairiya Ferdous · b Rabeya Khan | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 41.67 |
| Heena Hotchandanicaught · Shorna Akter · Rabeya Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shorna Akter · b Rabeya Khan | 18 | 19 | 2 |
| 0 |
| 94.74 |
| Lavanya Kenycaught · Sobhana Mostary · Nahida Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sobhana Mostary · b Nahida Akter | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| J Thirukkumaranlbw · Nahida Akter 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nahida Akter | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| MP Kulkarninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 12 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| I Nandakumarcaught · Shorna Akter · Rabeya Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shorna Akter · b Rabeya Khan | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| S Kottecaught · Sobhana Mostary · Fahima Khatun 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sobhana Mostary · b Fahima Khatun | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Archara Supriyanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marufa Akter0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 2.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Sultana Khatun0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Nahida Akter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Rabeya Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Fahima Khatun0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Esha Oza, 0.4) · 2-13 (S Dharnidharka, 4.5) · 3-22 (Rinitha Rajith, 7.4) · 4-36 (Theertha Satish, 11.0) · 5-38 (Lavanya Keny, 12.1) · 6-52 (J Thirukkumaran, 14.4) · 7-56 (Heena Hotchandani, 15.4) · 8-60 (I Nandakumar, 17.3) · 9-65 (S Kotte, 18.3)
Recorded target: 104 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 14/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 15/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 20/2 |
| 8 | 2 | 22/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 25/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 34/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 36/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 38/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 41/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 46/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 54/6 |
| 16 | 2 | 56/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 60/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 62/8 |
| 19 | 5 | 67/9 |
| 20 | 2 | 69/9 |
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fahima Khatun: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nahida Akter: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Marufa Akter: Press Information Department · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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