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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
22 May 2026 · T20
Lord's · Venue photographKent started on 54%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (Middlesex: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holdencaught · Tom Rogers · Matt Milnes 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b Matt Milnes | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Adam Rossingtoncaught · Fred Klaassen · Tom Rogers9 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Fred Klaassen · b Tom Rogers | 79 | 43 | 9 | 4 | 183.72 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Tawanda Muyeye · Tom Rogers2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Tom Rogers | 19 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 190.00 |
| CM Falconercaught · Sam Billings · Jacob Lintott 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Jacob Lintott | 12 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| caught · Chris Benjamin · b Jacob Lintott |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Eathan Boschcaught · Tawanda Muyeye · Tom Rogers 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Tawanda Muyeye · b Tom Rogers | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 109.09 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmancaught · Zak Crawley · Tom Rogers0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Tom Rogers | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| SHB Morgannot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 19* | 10 | 3 | 0 | 190.00 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharcaught · Jacob Lintott · Matt Milnes2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jacob Lintott · b Matt Milnes | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 122.22 |
|---|
 Tom Helmnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Klaassen0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 4 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Milnes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 2 | 9.50 | 1 | 0 |
 Joe Denly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Joey Evison0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 2 | 0 |
1-61 (Max Holden, 5.3) · 2-89 (Leus du Plooy, 8.0) · 3-125 (CM Falconer, 12.4) · 4-125 (Ryan Higgins, 13.0) · 5-141 (Adam Rossington, 15.3) · 6-141 (Luke Hollman, 16.0) · 7-158 (Eathan Bosch, 17.3) · 8-172 (Zafar Gohar, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 33/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 44/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 58/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 65/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 75/1 |
| 8 | 14 | 89/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 97/2 |
| 10 | 8 | 105/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 108/2 |
| 12 | 13 | 121/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 125/4 |
| 14 | 8 | 133/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 136/4 |
| 16 | 5 | 141/6 |
| 17 | 12 | 153/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 163/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 171/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 181/8 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ryan Higgins: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matt Milnes: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joey Evison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Noah Cornwell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Adam Rossington: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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