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Cyprus tour of Croatia · 2025 · Men
8 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Cyprus more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Cyprus started on 69%; Cyprus batted first.
Cyprus's chances ranged from 43% to 100% during the match (Croatia: 0% to 57%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S Houghtonbowled · Adam Senn 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Adam Senn | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| A Beresford-Peirsecaught · Adam Senn · Waqar Ali 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Adam Senn · b Waqar Ali | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 115.38 |
| ZXM Vukusicbowled · Kamal Raiz 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kamal Raiz | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| JM Vujinovichbowled · Waqar Ali 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Waqar Ali | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
| H Satheedevibowled · Waqar Ali 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Waqar Ali | 22 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 110.00 |
| Oliver Tilleycaught · AA Senn · Hardeep Singh (2)0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · AA Senn · b Hardeep Singh (2) |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Saghar Manzoorcaught · Kamal Raiz · Aminul Islam Chowdhury 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kamal Raiz · b Aminul Islam Chowdhury | 26 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 152.94 |
|---|
| H Beresford-Peirsecaught · S Tharanga · Aminul Islam Chowdhury 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · S Tharanga · b Aminul Islam Chowdhury | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| S Bevincaught · S Austin · S Burdekin 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · S Austin · b S Burdekin | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| A Magdalenicnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 12 | 2 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
| A Razmilicrun out · S Austin, Hardeep Singh (2) · Hardeep Singh (2) 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Austin, Hardeep Singh (2) | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Senn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamal Raiz0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 0 | 0 |
| S Austin0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Waqar Ali0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Hardeep Singh (2)0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.5 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.82 | 2 | 0 |
| Aminul Islam Chowdhury0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
| S Burdekin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (S Houghton, 0.1) · 2-11 (ZXM Vukusic, 3.5) · 3-47 (A Beresford-Peirse, 7.1) · 4-60 (JM Vujinovich, 10.0) · 5-67 (Oliver Tilley, 11.0) · 6-77 (H Satheedevi, 12.0) · 7-88 (H Beresford-Peirse, 13.1) · 8-122 (S Bevin, 16.5) · 9-124 (Saghar Manzoor, 17.1) · 10-141 (A Razmilic, 19.5)
Recorded target: 194 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 4/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 20/2 |
| 6 | 13 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 14 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 48/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 55/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 60/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 67/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 77/6 |
| 13 | 11 | 88/6 |
| 14 | 8 | 96/7 |
| 15 | 10 | 106/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 111/7 |
| 17 | 13 | 124/8 |
| 18 | 2 | 126/9 |
| 19 | 8 | 134/9 |
| 20 | 7 | 141/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.