OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Gihan Jayaweera
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Bangladesh tour of Sri Lanka · 2025 · Men
8 Jul 2025 · ODI
Pallekele International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sri Lanka more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sri Lanka started on 73%; Sri Lanka batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parvez Hossain Emoncaught · Nishan Madushka · Dunith Wellalage 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nishan Madushka · b Dunith Wellalage | 28 | 44 | 4 | 0 | 63.64 |
| Tanzid Hasanbowled · Asitha Fernando 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asitha Fernando | 17 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 130.77 |
 Najmul Hossain Shantobowled · Dushmantha Chameera0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dushmantha Chameera | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Tawhid Hridoybowled · Dushmantha Chameera3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Dushmantha Chameera | 51 | 78 | 3 | 1 | 65.38 |
Sri Lanka's chances ranged from 70% to 100% during the match (Bangladesh: 0% to 31%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Janith Liyanage · b Dunith Wellalage |
| 28 |
| 25 |
| 4 |
| 1 |
| 112.00 |
 Shamim Hossainstumped · Kusal Mendis · Wanindu Hasaranga1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kusal Mendis · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 12 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Jaker Alibowled · Asitha Fernando2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Asitha Fernando | 27 | 35 | 2 | 1 | 77.14 |
|---|
 Tanzim Hasan Sakibcaught · Kusal Mendis · Dushmantha Chameera0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kusal Mendis · b Dushmantha Chameera | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
 Taskin Ahmedbowled · Asitha Fernando0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Asitha Fernando | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Tanvir Islamcaught · Nishan Madushka · Wanindu Hasaranga 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nishan Madushka · b Wanindu Hasaranga | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
 Mustafizur Rahmannot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asitha Fernando0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 4.71 | 1 | 0 |
| Dushmantha Chameera1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 51 | 3 | 6.38 | 5 | 0 |
| Mahesh Theekshana1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Dunith Wellalage0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 4.13 | 0 | 0 |
 Wanindu Hasaranga1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.4 | 1 | 35 | 2 | 4.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Kamindu Mendis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-19 (Tanzid Hasan, 3.0) · 2-20 (Najmul Hossain Shanto, 3.5) · 3-62 (Parvez Hossain Emon, 13.3) · 4-105 (Mehedi Hasan, 21.0) · 5-124 (Shamim Hossain, 27.1) · 6-153 (Tawhid Hridoy, 32.2) · 7-162 (Tanzim Hasan Sakib, 34.4) · 8-171 (Taskin Ahmed, 36.4) · 9-182 (Jaker Ali, 38.5) · 10-186 (Tanvir Islam, 39.4)
Recorded target: 286 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 4 | 1 | 20/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 25/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 35/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 51/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 55/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 55/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 57/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 61/2 |
| 14 | 3 | 64/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 66/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 74/3 |
| 17 | 7 | 81/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 89/3 |
| 19 | 5 | 94/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 102/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 105/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 109/4 |
| 23 | 1 | 110/4 |
| 24 | 7 | 117/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 121/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 122/4 |
| 27 | 2 | 124/4 |
| 28 | 0 | 124/5 |
| 29 | 10 | 134/5 |
| 30 | 3 | 137/5 |
| 31 | 5 | 142/5 |
| 32 | 11 | 153/5 |
| 33 | 4 | 157/6 |
| 34 | 2 | 159/6 |
| 35 | 6 | 165/7 |
| 36 | 5 | 170/7 |
| 37 | 1 | 171/8 |
| 38 | 5 | 176/8 |
| 39 | 6 | 182/9 |
| 40 | 4 | 186/10 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Wanindu Hasaranga: 04 ATM 04 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tanzim Hasan Sakib: Cricket Today · CC BY 3.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Janith Liyanage: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shamim Hossain: DelwarHossain · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}