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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
24 Sept 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 64%; United States of America batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aryansh Sharmacaught · Smit Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 11 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 73.33 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Smit Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 109.09 |
| Vishnu Sukumarancaught · Smit Patel · Saurabh Netravalkar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Saurabh Netravalkar | 7 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53.85 |
| Asif Khancaught · Utkarsh Srivastava · Jasdeep Singh 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Utkarsh Srivastava · b Jasdeep Singh | 51 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 104.08 |
| Rahul Chopralbw · Milind Kumar 7 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Milind Kumar | 52 |
United States of America's chances ranged from 60% to 100% during the match (United Arab Emirates: 0% to 40%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 44 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 118.18 |
| Basil Hameednot out 3 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 50* | 43 | 3 | 4 | 116.28 |
|---|
| Ali Naseercaught · Monank Patel · Shadley van Schalkwyk 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Monank Patel · b Shadley van Schalkwyk | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aayan Afzal Khancaught · Jasdeep Singh · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b Nosthush Kenjige | 10 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 38.46 |
|---|
| Rahul Bhatiastumped · Smit Patel · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Smit Patel · b Nosthush Kenjige | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquecaught and bowled · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nosthush Kenjige | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Omid Shafi Rahmancaught · Smit Patel · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smit Patel · b Jasdeep Singh | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 4.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Shadley van Schalkwyk0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 3.60 | 2 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.2 | 0 | 51 | 2 | 6.95 | 0 | 0 |
| Yasir Mohammad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 1 | 0 |
1-25 (Aryansh Sharma, 4.1) · 2-28 (Waseem Muhammad, 5.0) · 3-33 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 6.4) · 4-136 (Rahul Chopra, 21.5) · 5-138 (Asif Khan, 22.4) · 6-150 (Ali Naseer, 25.0) · 7-198 (Aayan Afzal Khan, 33.3) · 8-202 (Rahul Bhatia, 35.1) · 9-202 (Junaid Siddique, 35.2) · 10-203 (Omid Shafi Rahman, 36.2)
Recorded target: 340 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 25/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 32/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 35/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 44/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 50/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 55/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 64/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 66/3 |
| 13 | 14 | 80/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 84/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 93/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 100/3 |
| 17 | 14 | 114/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 115/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 123/3 |
| 20 | 6 | 129/3 |
| 21 | 6 | 135/3 |
| 22 | 2 | 137/4 |
| 23 | 1 | 138/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 139/5 |
| 25 | 11 | 150/6 |
| 26 | 3 | 153/6 |
| 27 | 2 | 155/6 |
| 28 | 11 | 166/6 |
| 29 | 8 | 174/6 |
| 30 | 2 | 176/6 |
| 31 | 4 | 180/6 |
| 32 | 4 | 184/6 |
| 33 | 11 | 195/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 199/7 |
| 35 | 3 | 202/7 |
| 36 | 1 | 203/9 |
| 37 | 0 | 203/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.