Lahore QalandarsversusQuetta Gladiators

21 Apr 2026 · T20

Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Lahore Qalandars won by 9 runs

Lahore Qalandars20.0 overs197/6 Quetta Gladiators20.0 overs188/7 Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Lahore Qalandars started on 51%; Lahore Qalandars batted first.

Lahore Qalandars’s chance of winning (%) · Quetta Gladiators is the rest

Lahore Qalandars's chances ranged from 26% to 97% during the match (Quetta Gladiators: 3% to 74%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 13.5: Usama Mir to Khawaja Nafay, Khawaja Nafay out. Lahore Qalandars up from 51% to 65%.
2nd inns 14.5: Ubaid Shah to RR Rossouw, RR Rossouw out. Lahore Qalandars up from 26% to 44%.
2nd inns 16.3: Shaheen Shah Afridi to BJ Jacobs, BJ Jacobs out. Lahore Qalandars up from 47% to 69%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Lahore Qalandars197/6 Quetta Gladiators188/7

Innings 1