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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2024 · Women
29 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Scotland started on 61%; Scotland batted first.
Scotland's chances ranged from 48% to 100% during the match (United States of America: 0% to 52%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gargi Bhoglecaught · Lorna Jack · Kathryn Bryce 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorna Jack · b Kathryn Bryce | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| D Dhingrabowled · Kathryn Bryce 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kathryn Bryce | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Anika Kolanbowled · Kathryn Bryce 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kathryn Bryce | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 21.43 |
 Sindhu Sriharshalbw · Kathryn Bryce0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kathryn Bryce | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| AI Chudasamacaught · Kathryn Bryce · Katherine Fraser 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kathryn Bryce |
| 20 |
| 20 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| JM Willathgamuwastumped · Sarah Bryce · Abtaha Maqsood 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sarah Bryce · b Abtaha Maqsood | 10 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Geetika Kodalicaught · Katherine Fraser · Abtaha Maqsood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Katherine Fraser · b Abtaha Maqsood | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Isani Vaghelacaught · Abtaha Maqsood · Chloe Abel 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Abtaha Maqsood · b Chloe Abel | 30 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 115.38 |
|---|
| JL Arasnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 28 | 2 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Suhani Thadaninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathryn Bryce0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 4.25 | 5 | 0 |
| Rachel Slater0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Priyanaz Chatterji0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Chloe Abel0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-0 (Gargi Bhogle, 0.1) · 2-5 (D Dhingra, 2.1) · 3-6 (Sindhu Sriharsha, 2.3) · 4-22 (Anika Kolan, 4.2) · 5-42 (JM Willathgamuwa, 8.2) · 6-46 (AI Chudasama, 9.4) · 7-50 (Geetika Kodali, 10.3) · 8-89 (Isani Vaghela, 18.0)
Recorded target: 150 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 3 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 7/3 |
| 4 | 13 | 20/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 22/4 |
| 6 | 4 | 26/4 |
| 7 | 11 | 37/4 |
| 8 | 4 | 41/4 |
| 9 | 4 | 45/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 49/6 |
| 11 | 2 | 51/7 |
| 12 | 4 | 55/7 |
| 13 | 10 | 65/7 |
| 14 | 2 | 67/7 |
| 15 | 4 | 71/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 77/7 |
| 17 | 4 | 81/7 |
| 18 | 8 | 89/8 |
| 19 | 12 | 101/8 |
| 20 | 4 | 105/8 |
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
