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Continental Cup · 2026 · Men
20 Jun 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Belgium more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Belgium started on 66%; Belgium batted first.
Belgium's chances ranged from 56% to 100% during the match (Hungary: 0% to 44%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbas Ghanibowled · Murid Ekrami 8 fours · 6 sixes | bowled · b Murid Ekrami | 90 | 48 | 8 | 6 | 187.50 |
| V Ravindrancaught · Murid Ekrami · R Thapliyal 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Murid Ekrami · b R Thapliyal | 38 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 223.53 |
| Muhammad Sobanretired out · F Khaliq 4 fours · 0 sixes | retired out | 33 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 122.22 |
| M Bhaijibowled · F Khaliq 2 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b F Khaliq | 16 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 160.00 |
| Ali Nawazrun out · Omid Mailk Khel · Hadisullah Tarakhel 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Omid Mailk Khel | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 172.73 |
| M Fontainecaught · B Niaz · F Khaliq0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · B Niaz · b F Khaliq |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ali Farasatnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| RJ Ainsworthcaught · Hadisullah Tarakhel · Rashid Khan (4) 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hadisullah Tarakhel · b Rashid Khan (4) | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ibrar Ahmad (2)not out 1 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 16* | 4 | 1 | 2 | 400.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murid Ekrami0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 50 | 1 | 12.50 | 3 | 0 |
| F Khaliq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Rashid Khan (4)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 60 | 1 | 15.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Hadisullah Tarakhel0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 11.25 | 1 | 1 |
| R Thapliyal0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-80 (V Ravindran, 6.5) · 2-155 (Abbas Ghani, 13.5) · 3-175 (Muhammad Soban, 16.0) · 4-193 (M Bhaiji, 17.5) · 5-193 (M Fontaine, 18.0) · 6-205 (Ali Nawaz, 19.0) · 7-206 (RJ Ainsworth, 19.2)
Recorded target: 233 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 13/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 31/0 |
| 4 | 14 | 45/0 |
| 5 | 20 | 65/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 75/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 81/1 |
| 8 | 14 | 95/1 |
| 9 | 12 | 107/1 |
| 10 | 10 | 117/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 126/1 |
| 12 | 10 | 136/1 |
| 13 | 9 | 145/1 |
| 14 | 17 | 162/2 |
| 15 | 10 | 172/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 175/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 188/3 |
| 18 | 5 | 193/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 205/6 |
| 20 | 17 | 222/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.