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SEA Games Women's Twenty20 Cricket Competition · 2025/26 · Women
16 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 88%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 88% to 100% during the match (Philippines: 0% to 12%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABY Smithstumped · NPAN Sakarini · NW Sariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · NPAN Sakarini · b NW Sariani | 5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 21.74 |
| JKD Andreanorun out · NK Ariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Elyza Wallstumped · NPAN Sakarini · NK Ariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · NPAN Sakarini · b NK Ariani | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Karri Gullem Keencaught · NK Ariani · NW Sariani 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NK Ariani · b NW Sariani | 18 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 45.00 |
| AR Valdezbowled · NW Sariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b NW Sariani | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| caught and bowled · b FL Albanjari |
| 3 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 37.50 |
| Kyte Gullem Keenbowled · NW Sariani 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b NW Sariani | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| R Castillonot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 12 | 1 | 0 | 91.67 |
|---|
| JS Eguidcaught · NPAN Sakarini · FL Albanjari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · NPAN Sakarini · b FL Albanjari | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| KAC Wongnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 23 | 2 | 0 | 39.13 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMP Suwandewi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| NK Ariani2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| SAN Maypriani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
| NLKWR Dewi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| NW Sariani0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| FL Albanjari1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| RD Pangestuti0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
1-1 (JKD Andreano, 1.4) · 2-7 (Elyza Wall, 3.2) · 3-24 (ABY Smith, 9.5) · 4-24 (AR Valdez, 10.0) · 5-32 (Karri Gullem Keen, 13.1) · 6-32 (Kyte Gullem Keen, 13.4) · 7-34 (RB Osabel, 14.1) · 8-34 (JS Eguid, 14.2)
Recorded target: 197 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 7/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 7/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 12/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 14/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 17/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 18/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 23/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 24/4 |
| 11 | 2 | 26/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 28/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 32/4 |
| 14 | 2 | 34/6 |
| 15 | 0 | 34/8 |
| 16 | 3 | 37/8 |
| 17 | 4 | 41/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 46/8 |
| 19 | 1 | 47/8 |
| 20 | 9 | 56/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.