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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
County Ground, Northampton · Venue photographRecorded result
Northamptonshire started on 60%; Northamptonshire batted first.
Northamptonshire's chances ranged from 46% to 99% during the match (Derbyshire: 1% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Lewis McManus · Lloyd Pope8 fours · 6 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Lloyd Pope | 71 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 322.73 |
| Caleb Jewelllbw · Lloyd Pope 5 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Lloyd Pope | 39 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 156.00 |
 Ross Whiteleycaught · Ben Sanderson · George Scrimshaw0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ben Sanderson · b George Scrimshaw | 11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 122.22 |
| Martin Anderssonbowled · George Scrimshaw 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b George Scrimshaw | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| caught · David Willey · b Luke Procter |
| 29 |
| 17 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 170.59 |
 Harry Camenot out1 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 35* | 25 | 1 | 3 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Samit Patelcaught · Lewis McManus · Luke Procter2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lewis McManus · b Luke Procter | 19 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 126.67 |
|---|
 Zak Chappellnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 2 · noballs: 4 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 David Willey0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 0 | 2 |
 Ben Sanderson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 George Scrimshaw0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 56 | 2 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Saif Zaib0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Luke Procter0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 0 | 2 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 9.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-112 (Caleb Jewell, 7.4) · 2-113 (Aneurin Donald, 8.0) · 3-131 (Ross Whiteley, 10.1) · 4-141 (Martin Andersson, 11.0) · 5-178 (Wayne Madsen, 15.3) · 6-224 (Samit Patel, 19.4)
Recorded target: 238 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 20/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 24 | 48/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 61/0 |
| 5 | 14 | 75/0 |
| 6 | 10 | 85/0 |
| 7 | 19 | 104/0 |
| 8 | 9 | 113/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 124/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 131/2 |
| 11 | 10 | 141/4 |
| 12 | 13 | 154/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 158/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 164/4 |
| 15 | 12 | 176/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 186/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 194/5 |
| 18 | 12 | 206/5 |
| 19 | 12 | 218/5 |
| 20 | 6 | 224/6 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Aitchison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravi Bopara: Stephen Turner at English Wikipedia · CC BY-SA 3.0
Luke Procter: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Harry Came: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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