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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
West Indies Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2026 · Women
27 Sept 2026 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
West Indies started on 56%; West Indies batted first.
West Indies's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Zimbabwe: 33% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Modester Mupachikwalbw · Aaliyah Alleyne 7 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 38 | 57 | 7 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Kelis Ndhlovucaught · M Mangru · Aaliyah Alleyne 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · M Mangru · b Aaliyah Alleyne | 30 | 56 | 1 | 1 | 53.57 |
| Chipo Mugerilbw · Ashmini Munisar 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ashmini Munisar | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| B Bizabowled · Afy Fletcher 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Afy Fletcher | 14 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| Josephine Nkomocaught · Shemaine Campbelle · Ashmini Munisar 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shemaine Campbelle · b Ashmini Munisar | 30 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 51.72 |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| lbw · b Afy Fletcher |
| 2 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| Nyasha Gwanzuranot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 37 | 3 | 0 | 48.65 |
|---|
| M Mavunganot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaida James0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Jannillea Glasgow0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Hayley Matthews1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 3.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Afy Fletcher1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.5 | 1 | 37 | 2 | 4.19 | 2 | 0 |
| Aaliyah Alleyne1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 3.86 | 2 | 0 |
| Ashmini Munisar1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 2.14 | 0 | 0 |
 Karishma Ramharack0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-67 (Modester Mupachikwa, 17.0) · 2-68 (Chipo Mugeri, 19.5) · 3-70 (Kelis Ndhlovu, 20.2) · 4-100 (B Biza, 28.4) · 5-105 (Chiedza Dhururu, 30.5) · 6-133 (Josephine Nkomo, 39.5)
Recorded target: 140 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 18/0 |
| 7 | 2 | 20/0 |
| 8 | 6 | 26/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 30/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 33/0 |
| 11 | 2 | 35/0 |
| 12 | 2 | 37/0 |
| 13 | 0 | 37/0 |
| 14 | 3 | 40/0 |
| 15 | 11 | 51/0 |
| 16 | 12 | 63/0 |
| 17 | 4 | 67/1 |
| 18 | 0 | 67/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 67/1 |
| 20 | 1 | 68/2 |
| 21 | 5 | 73/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 77/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 79/3 |
| 24 | 2 | 81/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 85/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 86/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 88/3 |
| 28 | 6 | 94/3 |
| 29 | 7 | 101/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 103/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 105/5 |
| 32 | 2 | 107/5 |
| 33 | 0 | 107/5 |
| 34 | 2 | 109/5 |
| 35 | 2 | 111/5 |
| 36 | 4 | 115/5 |
| 37 | 7 | 122/5 |
| 38 | 5 | 127/5 |
| 39 | 5 | 132/5 |
| 40 | 1 | 133/6 |
| 41 | 7 | 140/6 |
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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