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Photo: Harrias
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2026 · Women
12 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Taunton · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 45%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 41% to 100% during the match (Somerset: 0% to 59%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Boschcaught · Niamh Holland · Alex Griffiths 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Niamh Holland · b Alex Griffiths | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Grace Scrivensrun out · OJ Barnes, Jess Hazell · OJ Barnes 5 fours · 0 sixes | run out · OJ Barnes, Jess Hazell | 32 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 123.08 |
 Sophia Smalecaught · Alex Griffiths · Chloe Skelton1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Griffiths · b Chloe Skelton | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| Jodi Grewcockbowled · OJ Barnes 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b OJ Barnes | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 111.76 |
| Liberty Heapcaught · LM Harris · Charlie Dean 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · LM Harris |
| 37 |
| 31 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 119.35 |
| Jo Gardnercaught · Anika Learoyd · LM Harris 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Anika Learoyd · b LM Harris | 30 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 176.47 |
|---|
| B Gillgrasscaught · Anika Learoyd · E Vukusic 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anika Learoyd · b E Vukusic | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 171.43 |
|---|
| Amara Carrnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Eva Graybowled · Charlie Dean 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Charlie Dean | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kate Coppackbowled · Charlie Dean 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Charlie Dean | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Charlie Dean0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex Griffiths0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 15.00 | 2 | 0 |
| E Vukusic0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
 Chloe Skelton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| OJ Barnes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Niamh Holland0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 5 | 0 |
| LM Harris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Anne Bosch, 2.0) · 2-54 (Sophia Smale, 6.4) · 3-58 (Grace Scrivens, 8.0) · 4-102 (Jodi Grewcock, 13.2) · 5-138 (Jo Gardner, 17.0) · 6-152 (B Gillgrass, 18.4) · 7-162 (Liberty Heap, 19.4) · 8-163 (Eva Gray, 19.5) · 9-163 (Kate Coppack, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 17/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 2 | 34/1 |
| 6 | 19 | 53/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 58/3 |
| 9 | 14 | 72/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 78/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 83/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 95/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 102/3 |
| 14 | 3 | 105/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 109/4 |
| 16 | 13 | 122/4 |
| 17 | 16 | 138/5 |
| 18 | 10 | 148/5 |
| 19 | 6 | 154/6 |
| 20 | 9 | 163/9 |
Charlie Dean: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophie Luff: Harrias · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chloe Skelton: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
