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Japan Twenty20 Tri-Series · 2026 · Men
14 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Philippines more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Fiji started on 32%; Fiji batted first.
Fiji's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Philippines: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peni Vuniwaqacaught · AS Samra · ASF Sirah 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · AS Samra · b ASF Sirah | 42 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 135.48 |
| V Veiqravilbw · G Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b G Chohan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| J Baleicikoibiacaught · Henry Tyler · G Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Henry Tyler · b G Chohan | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
| SM Tupoucaught · Surinder Singh · N Tanner 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Surinder Singh · b N Tanner | 10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 90.91 |
| N Acaweistumped · Henry Tyler · ASF Sirah 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Henry Tyler · b ASF Sirah | 15 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
| caught · JEA Doctora · b N Tanner |
| 9 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
| M Ravulabowled · G Chohan 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b G Chohan | 12 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| S Waqabacanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
|---|
| P Dakainivanuacaught · JEA Doctora · ASF Sirah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JEA Doctora · b ASF Sirah | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| S Tabuisulubowled · ASF Sirah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b ASF Sirah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| VM Waqavakatogarun out · A Donovan, ASF Sirah · ASF Sirah 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Donovan, ASF Sirah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 14 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Samra0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel Smith0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| G Chohan1 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 9 | 0 |
| Surinder Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 9.50 | 0 | 0 |
| ASF Sirah0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 3.82 | 0 | 0 |
| Huzaifa Mohammed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| N Tanner0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 3.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-30 (V Veiqravi, 2.5) · 2-53 (Peni Vuniwaqa, 6.4) · 3-59 (J Baleicikoibia, 7.5) · 4-66 (SM Tupou, 9.2) · 5-80 (Metuisela Beitaki, 11.3) · 6-105 (M Ravula, 15.4) · 7-110 (N Acawei, 16.1) · 8-114 (P Dakainivanua, 18.1) · 9-114 (S Tabuisulu, 18.2) · 10-116 (VM Waqavakatoga, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 17/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 24/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 13 | 52/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 59/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 66/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 71/4 |
| 11 | 9 | 80/4 |
| 12 | 2 | 82/5 |
| 13 | 6 | 88/5 |
| 14 | 7 | 95/5 |
| 15 | 8 | 103/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 110/6 |
| 17 | 1 | 111/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 114/7 |
| 19 | 2 | 116/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.