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Sri Lanka Women tour of West Indies · 2025/26 · Women
22 Feb 2026 · ODI
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, Grenada · Venue photographRecorded result
West Indies more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Sri Lanka started on 42%; Sri Lanka batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hayley Matthewscaught · Kavisha Dilhari · Dewmi Vihanga1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kavisha Dilhari · b Dewmi Vihanga | 13 | 33 | 1 | 0 | 39.39 |
| Qiana Josephcaught · Malki Madara · Sugandika Kumari 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Malki Madara · b Sugandika Kumari | 16 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 59.26 |
 Shemaine Campbellestumped · Kaushini Nuthyangana · Inoka Ranaweera3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kaushini Nuthyangana · b Inoka Ranaweera | 30 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 85.71 |
 Stafanie Taylorcaught · Kaushini Nuthyangana · Inoka Ranaweera3 fours · 0 sixes |
Sri Lanka's chances ranged from 19% to 94% during the match (West Indies: 6% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Kaushini Nuthyangana · b Inoka Ranaweera |
| 27 |
| 45 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 60.00 |
 Chinelle Henrycaught · Hasini Perera · Sugandika Kumari0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasini Perera · b Sugandika Kumari | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Deandra Dottinobstructing the field · Chamari Atapattu2 fours · 0 sixes | obstructing the field | 13 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 86.67 |
|---|
| Jannillea Glasgowcaught · Kavisha Dilhari · Chamari Atapattu 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kavisha Dilhari · b Chamari Atapattu | 50 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 72.46 |
|---|
| Aaliyah Alleynecaught · Harshitha Madavi · Dewmi Vihanga 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harshitha Madavi · b Dewmi Vihanga | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Shawnisha Hectorcaught · Nilakshi de Silva · Sugandika Kumari 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nilakshi de Silva · b Sugandika Kumari | 11 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 45.83 |
|---|
 Afy Fletchercaught · I Dulani · Inoka Ranaweera2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · I Dulani · b Inoka Ranaweera | 20 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 86.96 |
|---|
 Karishma Ramharacknot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malki Madara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Sugandika Kumari0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 3.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Dewmi Vihanga0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 3.30 | 1 | 0 |
| Inoka Ranaweera1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 4.40 | 1 | 0 |
 Kavisha Dilhari0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Chamari Atapattu0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 3.89 | 3 | 0 |
1-30 (Hayley Matthews, 9.4) · 2-30 (Qiana Joseph, 10.2) · 3-74 (Stafanie Taylor, 21.4) · 4-89 (Chinelle Henry, 24.1) · 5-93 (Shemaine Campbelle, 25.1) · 6-116 (Deandra Dottin, 29.5) · 7-119 (Aaliyah Alleyne, 30.5) · 8-146 (Shawnisha Hector, 38.2) · 9-191 (Afy Fletcher, 46.3) · 10-194 (Jannillea Glasgow, 48.0)
Recorded target: 209 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 14/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 20/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 24/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 25/0 |
| 9 | 4 | 29/0 |
| 10 | 1 | 30/1 |
| 11 | 1 | 31/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 34/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 37/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 43/2 |
| 15 | 4 | 47/2 |
| 16 | 1 | 48/2 |
| 17 | 4 | 52/2 |
| 18 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 59/2 |
| 20 | 4 | 63/2 |
| 21 | 4 | 67/2 |
| 22 | 7 | 74/3 |
| 23 | 7 | 81/3 |
| 24 | 8 | 89/3 |
| 25 | 4 | 93/4 |
| 26 | 0 | 93/5 |
| 27 | 9 | 102/5 |
| 28 | 4 | 106/5 |
| 29 | 8 | 114/5 |
| 30 | 2 | 116/6 |
| 31 | 4 | 120/7 |
| 32 | 6 | 126/7 |
| 33 | 2 | 128/7 |
| 34 | 4 | 132/7 |
| 35 | 3 | 135/7 |
| 36 | 2 | 137/7 |
| 37 | 4 | 141/7 |
| 38 | 5 | 146/7 |
| 39 | 6 | 152/8 |
| 40 | 3 | 155/8 |
| 41 | 3 | 158/8 |
| 42 | 6 | 164/8 |
| 43 | 3 | 167/8 |
| 44 | 6 | 173/8 |
| 45 | 8 | 181/8 |
| 46 | 8 | 189/8 |
| 47 | 3 | 192/9 |
| 48 | 2 | 194/10 |
Chamari Atapattu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nilakshi de Silva: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hayley Matthews: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Deandra Dottin: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stafanie Taylor: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hasini Perera: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Karishma Ramharack: SportsMax TV · CC BY 3.0
Sugandika Kumari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shemaine Campbelle: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harshitha Madavi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kavisha Dilhari: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chinelle Henry: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Afy Fletcher: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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